Market Overview for FILUSDT on 2025-09-15

• Price rose from $2.495 to $2.553, showing a bullish trend with strong momentum.
• MACD and RSI suggest overbought conditions near $2.550.
• High volatility and volume spikes confirmed key resistance breaks.
• Bollinger Bands show price near upper band, indicating a stretched rally.
• Fibonacci retracement levels at $2.535 and $2.515 may define near-term support/resistance.

Filecoin/Tether (FILUSDT) opened at $2.495 on 2025-09-14 at 12:00 ET, surged to a high of $2.555, and closed at $2.553 on 2025-09-15 at 12:00 ET. Total volume over the 24-hour period was 2,266,576.98 FIL, with a notional turnover of approximately $5,713,596.42 USD (based on volume and average price).

Structure & Formations

The price of FILUSDT exhibited a strong upward bias, with a decisive break above key resistance at $2.530. A bullish engulfing pattern formed around $2.525 on 2025-09-15 02:30, signaling a potential reversal after a brief consolidation. A long white candle closing near the high of $2.555 confirmed buyer dominance. Doji patterns were noted at $2.514 (2025-09-14 16:00) and $2.506 (2025-09-14 18:15), suggesting indecision in earlier bearish phases.

Moving Averages

The 15-minute chart saw price consistently above both 20-period and 50-period moving averages, indicating a short-term bullish trend. Daily chart indicators show price above 50, 100, and 200-period MA lines, reinforcing the broader uptrend.

MACD & RSI

The MACD crossed above the signal line during the early hours of 2025-09-15, confirming a bullish momentum shift. RSI reached 68–70 during the peak at $2.555, suggesting overbought conditions. A pullback to 50–60 RSI could signal consolidation, while a break above 70 may trigger a deeper correction.

Bollinger Bands

Price reached the upper Bollinger Band during the final hours of 2025-09-15, indicating a potential exhaustion of the upward move. A retest of the $2.54–$2.535 range, which corresponds to the mid-band and Fibonacci 38.2% level, may offer near-term support if the rally pauses.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked significantly during the 02:30–05:30 ET window, coinciding with the price breakout from $2.530 to $2.555. Notional turnover also increased, confirming price strength. A divergence between volume and price in the final 15-minute candle (closing at $2.553) suggests a possible pause in momentum.

Fibonacci Retracements

Key Fibonacci levels on the 15-minute chart include 38.2% at $2.535 and 61.8% at $2.515. On the daily chart, the 50% retest at $2.525 has been a recurring support level. Traders may monitor these levels for potential reversals or retracements.

Backtest Hypothesis

The backtest strategy outlined involves entering long positions when RSI crosses above 50 and MACD forms a bullish crossover (above the signal line), provided the price is above the 50-period moving average. A stop-loss is placed at the most recent 15-minute low, while the take-profit is set at the next Fibonacci resistance level. Based on today’s data, this strategy would have entered at $2.524 and exited at $2.553, capturing a 1.17% gain. A trailing stop at $2.535 would have also allowed for a controlled exit if price corrected.