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Summary
• ETHMXN formed a key bearish reversal pattern at 56,266 MXN after a 560–tick consolidation.
• Momentum indicators showed bearish divergence, with RSI dropping below 30 near the close.
• Volatility expanded late in the day as price dropped 1.2% from open to close.
• Bollinger Bands tightened before a sharp break lower, suggesting a potential continuation.
• Volume spiked at 04:15 ET, signaling increased selling pressure ahead of the 24-hour close.
Ethereum/Mexican Peso (ETHMXN) opened at 55,648 MXN on 2025-12-13 at 12:00 ET, reaching a high of 56,266 MXN and a low of 54,975 MXN before closing at 54,975 MXN on 2025-12-14 at 12:00 ET. Total 24-hour volume was 2.1823 ETH, with notional turnover of approximately 122,832 MXN.
Structure & Formations
Price formed a bearish reversal structure at 56,266 MXN following a 560-tick consolidation, with a bearish engulfing pattern forming after a brief rally. This level coincided with a major resistance point where buyers failed to hold. A key support level was identified near 55,648 MXN, where price consolidated before breaking lower.
Technical Indicators
The 20- and 50-period moving averages on the 5-minute chart converged into a bearish alignment, confirming the downward bias. MACD showed bearish divergence as the price fell lower, with negative momentum building late in the session.

Volatility and Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands experienced a period of contraction before the sharp decline, suggesting increased volatility ahead. Price eventually broke through the lower band, reinforcing the bearish narrative. The expansion in volatility was most noticeable after 04:15 ET, aligning with a large-volume bearish candle.
Volume and Turnover Analysis
Volume remained relatively low for most of the day until a spike at 04:15 ET, where a large bearish candle formed with 0.1288 ETH traded. This was followed by minimal turnover, indicating reduced participation. A second spike occurred at 10:15 ET, coinciding with another bearish breakdown to 56,000 MXN.
Fibonacci Retracements
A retracement from the 56,266 MXN high to 54,975 MXN low showed a 61.8% level near 55,480 MXN, which was briefly tested before the price broke lower. The 100-period daily MA provided a key resistance level that failed to hold, indicating further downside could be in play.
Traders may watch for a potential bounce from the 54,975 MXN level or a continuation of the bearish trend toward the next support at 54,600 MXN. Caution is advised due to the recent bearish momentum and potential for a test of key Fibonacci levels.
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