Market Overview for ether.fi/Tether (ETHFIUSDT): September 16, 2025

• ETHFIUSDT opened at 1.418, traded between 1.393 and 1.468, and closed at 1.459.
• A strong upward bias emerged late in the 24-hour period amid rising volume and momentum.
• The RSI climbed into overbought territory, while Bollinger Bands expanded, indicating growing volatility.
• Volume surged during a bullish breakout above key resistance, with turnover confirming strength.
• A potential short-term consolidation phase is likely ahead, with support at 1.434–1.439 to watch.

Ether.fi/Tether (ETHFIUSDT) opened at 1.418 at 12:00 ET–1 and closed at 1.459 at 12:00 ET on September 16, 2025, reaching a high of 1.468 and a low of 1.393 during the session. The pair traded on an average of 408,711.3 volume and a total turnover of $690,679.5 (calculated using the sum of volume * close).

Structure & Formations

The price of ETHFIUSDT showed a strong bullish bias, especially in the latter half of the 24-hour period, with a key breakout above 1.443. A bullish engulfing pattern formed at 01:30 ET on the 15-minute chart, confirming the upward shift in sentiment. A strong higher high and higher lows structure emerged after 04:00 ET, suggesting a developing uptrend. A key resistance level at 1.443 was tested and broken multiple times before holding, now acting as a potential support area. The most recent lower low at 1.393 and higher high at 1.468 form a clear bullish channel.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20SMA and 50SMA crossed to the upside between 04:00 and 05:00 ET, supporting the bullish momentum. On the daily chart, the 50DMA and 100DMA crossed as the price moved above the 200DMA, signaling a potential long-term bullish shift in trend. The 50DMA is currently at 1.438, the 100DMA at 1.432, and the 200DMA at 1.428, suggesting a positive bias in the near term.

MACD & RSI

The MACD crossed above the signal line around 01:15 ET, and the histogram expanded as bullish momentum increased. By 06:00 ET, the histogram reached a wide positive peak. The RSI climbed to 78, entering overbought territory in the final hours, indicating possible short-term exhaustion but also showing strong conviction in the upward move. A potential pullback may occur if the RSI fails to hold above 60.

Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands expanded significantly as the price moved above the upper band for the first time at 01:30 ET. The price has traded within the upper 20% of the bands for the last four hours, indicating heightened volatility and bullish pressure. A contraction phase is unlikely unless the price consolidates near the 1.435–1.443 range, where the lower band may provide near-term support.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked after the 01:15 ET breakout, reaching a peak of 311,130.6 volume at 01:30 ET, while turnover also rose sharply. The price action and volume are aligned, with no divergence observed. The largest notional turnover occurred during the 01:30–01:45 ET 15-minute window, suggesting strong institutional participation. The final 15-minute candle at 06:15 ET saw a volume of 10,077.9 volume, confirming the bullish close.

Fibonacci Retracements

Fibonacci retracement levels applied to the 1.393–1.468 swing show key levels at 38.2% (1.434) and 61.8% (1.449). The 1.449 level may act as a near-term resistance if the price continues to trend upwards. On a daily basis, retracement levels from the 1.395–1.486 move point to 1.443 (61.8%) as a critical level, which the price has already tested and is now supporting.

Backtest Hypothesis

Given the strong 15-minute momentum signals and aligned volume patterns, a potential backtest strategy could involve entering long positions when the 20SMA crosses above the 50SMA on the 15-minute chart, confirmed by a bullish engulfing candle and RSI above 50. A stop-loss could be placed below the 1.434 level, while a take-profit target could align with the 61.8% Fibonacci at 1.449. This approach may help capture short-term bull moves in a high-volatility environment while managing risk through defined levels.