Market Overview for ether.fi/Tether (ETHFIUSDT) on 2025-10-07
• ETHFIUSDT declined 3.4% in 24h, hitting a low of 1.754 amid bearish momentum.
• RSI dropped below 30 in final hours, suggesting short-term oversold conditions.
• Volume surged in early ET hours before retreating, signaling diverging pressure.
• Bollinger Bands widened during selloff, highlighting increased volatility.
• 1.818–1.821 appears as a critical support cluster, with resistance near 1.837.
24-Hour Market Summary
ether.fi/Tether (ETHFIUSDT) opened at 1.867 on 2025-10-06 at 12:00 ET and closed at 1.768 on 2025-10-07 at 12:00 ET, recording a low of 1.754 and a high of 1.898 over the 24-hour period. Total trading volume reached approximately 9.77 million units, while notional turnover amounted to roughly $16.73 million (assuming a 1:1 fiat value for USDT), showing elevated activity early in the period followed by a pullback.
Structure & Formations
The price profile of ETHFIUSDT displayed a bearish continuation with a pronounced breakdown below the key support level of 1.837, which had previously acted as a psychological floor. A large bearish engulfing pattern formed on October 7 at 14:15 ET, confirming a shift in momentum. Additionally, a doji appeared near 1.825 at 13:45 ET, indicating indecision. Key support levels observed are 1.818–1.821 and 1.795–1.798, with resistance at 1.831–1.837.
Moving Averages and Indicators
On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages have converged downward, reinforcing the bearish bias. The price remains below the 200-period daily MA, suggesting further bearish potential. The MACD line crossed below the signal line in early ET hours, signaling a bearish crossover. RSI dropped below 30 by the end of the 24-hour period, pointing to potential oversold conditions.
Volatility and Volume
Bollinger Bands expanded significantly as the price fell below the 1.837 level, with the closing price of 1.768 sitting near the lower band, indicating heightened volatility and bearish pressure. Volume spiked early in the period, particularly around 14:15–15:00 ET, but subsequently declined, suggesting reduced conviction in the downward move.
Backtest Hypothesis
Applying a basic trend-following strategy using a 50-period EMA on the 15-minute chart could have provided early bearish signals as the price crossed below the moving average on October 7 at 12:15 ET. A stop-loss could have been placed just above the 1.821 level, with a target below 1.795. Given the high volatility and strong bearish momentum, this setup may offer a favorable risk-to-reward ratio in the next 24 hours, especially if support at 1.821 fails.
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