Summary
• Price declined from 0.614 to 0.579 on heavy volume, with bearish engulfing patterns forming.
• RSI reached oversold levels near 25, suggesting short-term potential for a rebound.
• Volatility expanded significantly, with Bollinger Bands widening as prices tested lower bounds.
• Notional turnover surged after 02:00 ET, signaling increased selling pressure and capitulation.
• Key support at 0.576 held, but further breakdown below that could target 0.568–0.569.
Epic Chain/Tether (EPICUSDT) opened at 0.614 on 2025-12-20 at 12:00 ET, reaching a high of 0.618 before closing at 0.579 on 2025-12-21 at 12:00 ET, with a 24-hour low of 0.568. Total volume was 1,268,139.9 units, while turnover reached $763,462.00, indicating aggressive bearish participation.
Structure & Formations
Price action displayed a clear bearish trend, with a key bearish engulfing pattern forming around 0.61–0.606. A multi-hour doji near 0.594–0.597 suggests indecision, but prices continued lower thereafter. A strong support zone emerged near 0.576–0.579, which held during early morning trading.
Moving Averages
On the 5-minute chart, price traded well below its 20-period and 50-period SMAs, reinforcing short-term bearish momentum. The 50-period SMA at ~0.595 acted as a resistance level earlier in the day, but the breakdown failed to trigger a meaningful bounce.
MACD & RSI
The MACD crossed below its signal line with bearish divergence, confirming a sell-off. RSI hit an oversold level of 25, potentially indicating a short-term bounce may be due. However, a sustained rebound above 0.594–0.596 is required to confirm a reversal.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility expanded significantly after the price dropped below 0.59, with the Bollinger Bands widening to reflect increased uncertainty. Price tested the lower band (0.576–0.579) but failed to break through decisively, hinting at possible near-term support.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked during the early morning sell-off, peaking at 119,710.4 units at 14:00 ET, with a turnover of ~$69,435. The divergence between price and turnover was minimal, showing consistent bearish momentum. A sharp drop in turnover at 11:45 ET suggests some short-term capitulation.
Fibonacci Retracements
A key 5-minute swing from 0.618 to 0.568 saw price find temporary support at the 38.2% retracement level (~0.594), but failed to hold the 50% level (~0.591). On a daily basis, a breakdown below 0.576 could trigger a 61.8% extension at 0.569, which is a critical near-term risk level.
The price may find a short-term floor near 0.576–0.579 but could face renewed selling pressure if bearish sentiment persists. Investors should monitor volume and RSI for signs of a reversal, but a breakdown below 0.568–0.569 remains a key risk over the next 24 hours.
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