Summary
• ENJUSDT opened at $0.0454 and closed at $0.04438, with a 24-hour high of $0.04599 and low of $0.04357.
• RSI dipped into oversold territory (RSI < 30) by late morning before recovery. • Volatility expanded in early morning, narrowing as the pair consolidated toward close. • Volume surged during price lows, indicating possible capitulation and short-term exhaustion.
Enjin Coin/Tether (ENJUSDT) traded between $0.04357 and $0.04599 over the past 24 hours, opening at $0.0454 and closing at $0.04438. Total volume reached 7.83 million, with a turnover of $349,836. The market saw a shift in
from early bullish attempts to bearish consolidation.
Structural formations over the 15-minute chart revealed a strong resistance at $0.0460 and a key support at $0.0440, both of which were tested multiple times. Notable patterns included a bearish engulfing pattern at the top of the $0.0459–$0.0460 range and a bullish harami near the $0.04438 closing price, suggesting indecision and potential reversal signals. The price appears to have found short-term equilibrium around the $0.0445–$0.0446 level, with traders watching for a clear break.
Moving averages showed the 20-period MA on the 15-minute chart trending slightly lower, while the 50-period MA remained above the 20-period MA, indicating a mild bearish bias in the short term. On the daily chart, the 50-day MA ($0.0451) crossed above the 100-day MA ($0.0450), forming a potential golden cross. However, the 200-day MA at $0.0453 remains above both, reinforcing a bearish long-term outlook. The cross between the 50 and 100-day MAs may signal a temporary pause in the bearish trend.
MACD turned negative by midday, with the line dipping below the signal line and forming bearish divergence. RSI dropped into the 20–25 range by 02:00 ET, suggesting oversold conditions and potential for a short-term bounce. However, divergence between price and RSI suggests caution. Bollinger Bands expanded in the early morning session, with the price hitting the lower band at $0.04357 before a modest rebound. This indicates low volatility and a possible consolidation phase ahead.
Volume and turnover spiked around 22:15–23:30 ET, coinciding with a drop in price to the $0.0440–$0.0442 range. This suggests increased selling pressure during that period. However, volume dropped significantly after 04:00 ET, aligning with a price consolidation around $0.0443–$0.0445. Divergence between volume and price during the morning rebound implies weakening bullish momentum.
Fibonacci retracement levels drawn on the $0.04357–$0.04599 swing showed key levels at $0.04474 (38.2%) and $0.04527 (61.8%). The price currently hovers near the 38.2% retracement level, which could serve as a short-term support or trigger further bearish movement if broken. A close below $0.0440 would test the 23.6% retracement level and confirm a deeper bearish phase.
The RSI Oversold – 3-Day Hold strategy, which triggers on RSI(14) < 30, returned ~29.5% over four years with an annualized return of ~11%. While this appears modest, the strategy exhibited high volatility, with a maximum drawdown of ~59%. The average trade return of 0.65% suggests a low-probability, high-variance setup, where occasional larger gains offset frequent smaller losses. This highlights the importance of incorporating additional filters to improve risk-adjusted returns.
The backtest indicates that while the strategy is profitable, its high drawdowns and inconsistent performance suggest caution. Traders might consider refining the strategy by introducing a stop-loss or dynamic RSI thresholds. Testing variations in holding periods and combining RSI with price action signals, such as bullish patterns or volume confirmation, could also improve robustness. A walk-forward analysis on more recent data would provide insight into the strategy’s adaptability.
Looking ahead, the market appears poised to test the $0.0440 level, which could trigger a deeper correction or serve as a support. Traders should monitor volume and RSI for early signs of exhaustion or strength. A breakout above $0.0447 may suggest a short-term bullish bounce, but caution is warranted given the broader bearish context. As always, volatility and external macroevents could quickly shift the dynamics, so close monitoring is advised.
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