Summary
• DYMUSDT opened at $0.0957, reached $0.0991, and closed at $0.0939 with moderate bearish bias.
• Key support identified near $0.0944–$0.0939; resistance remains at $0.0968–$0.0985.
• RSI hovered near overbought levels mid-day before correcting sharply, indicating bearish
.
Dymension/Tether (DYMUSDT) opened at $0.0957 on 2025-11-10 at 12:00 ET and closed at $0.0939 on 2025-11-11 at 12:00 ET, reaching a high of $0.0991 and a low of $0.0931 during the 24-hour period. The total volume was 21,649,928.4 units, while the total turnover (notional value) amounted to approximately $2,096,056.60 over the same period.
Structure & Formations
The price action revealed several notable patterns and levels. A
bearish engulfing pattern formed on the morning of 2025-11-11, with the first candle of the day opening near $0.0972 and closing at $0.0961. This marked a key turning point into a downtrend. A
doji appeared later in the session at $0.095, suggesting indecision and possible reversal. A strong bearish trend continued through the night, and key
support levels were established at
$0.0944–$0.0939, where the price found temporary stability multiple times. Resistance clusters were visible at
$0.0968–$0.0985, where the price had previously stalled and reversed.
Moving Averages
On the 15-minute chart, the
20-period and 50-period SMAs were closely aligned in the afternoon, suggesting consolidation. However, as the bearish move accelerated, the 20-period SMA fell below the 50-period SMA, signaling a potential bearish crossover. This bearish alignment continued into the following morning, reinforcing the short-term bearish sentiment. On the daily chart, the 50-period SMA crossed below the 100-period and 200-period SMAs, a key
death cross formation indicating a potential continuation of the bearish trend.
MACD & RSI
The MACD showed a bearish divergence after 2025-11-10 19:00 ET, with the MACD line falling below the signal line and negative histogram bars expanding. This suggested weakening bullish momentum. The RSI climbed into
overbought territory in the early evening, peaking at ~70, but failed to sustain the move and dropped sharply below 50 during the night, confirming a bearish shift. The RSI’s failure to hold above 50 despite moderate volume signaled
weak momentum and potential for further correction.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility appeared to contract briefly around 2025-11-10 18:00 ET, with the price moving closely within the Bollinger Bands. This was followed by a sudden expansion in the afternoon and evening, as the price broke the lower band at $0.0963 and continued to fall. The price has remained near or below the
lower band, indicating a strong bearish bias. This suggests traders are reacting to bearish signals, and any bounce back above $0.0945 may trigger renewed selling pressure.
Volume & Turnover
Volume increased sharply in the early evening hours, especially around 2025-11-10 20:00–21:00 ET, during the move from $0.0965 to $0.0963. The highest single candle turnover occurred at
$0.0963 with
$131,377.20 in notional value. Despite this, price continued to fall, suggesting
bearish conviction. On the flip side, late night and early morning volume declined, even as the price approached key support levels, indicating
lack of buying interest and possible capitulation.
Fibonacci Retracements
Fibonacci levels applied to the 2025-11-10 swing from $0.0955 to $0.0991 showed
38.2% at $0.0976 and
61.8% at $0.0963, both of which were tested and broken. The 61.8% level coincided with a key support zone identified by the candlestick patterns and moving averages. The price has since fallen below the
50% retracement level at $0.0973, reinforcing the bearish trend. On the daily chart, Fibonacci levels drawn from the recent high of $0.0991 suggest a possible support zone near
$0.0939–$0.0944, which aligns with observed price consolidation.
Backtest Hypothesis
The recent price action highlights the limitations of a purely RSI-based strategy in the DYMUSDT market. Overbought conditions have historically failed to predict sustained bullish momentum, and sharp reversals have been more common than continuation moves. This aligns with the backtesting results, which show that an RSI-based strategy with 30% take-profit and 15% stop-loss parameters has underperformed, with larger drawdowns than cumulative returns. The asymmetry in market behavior—where bearish signals and reversals dominate—suggests that any strategy relying on overbought/oversold conditions must be paired with strong risk management and alternative indicators, such as volume or volatility.
Comments
No comments yet