• DOGSUSDT opened at $0.0000602 and closed at $0.0000581, with a high of $0.0000617 and low of $0.0000580.
• Price action displayed a bearish divergence with declining volume and turnover in the final hours.
• A key support level formed around $0.0000590–$0.0000595, tested multiple times during the session.
• Momentum indicators showed overbought conditions earlier in the day, followed by a rapid selloff.
• Bollinger Bands expanded during the midday rally, but prices fell below the 20-period MA, signaling bearish pressure.
DOGS/Tether opened at $0.0000602 on 2025-10-23 at 12:00 ET and closed at $0.0000581 at 12:00 ET the following day. The pair reached a high of $0.0000617 and a low of $0.0000580 during the 24-hour window. Total volume amounted to approximately 10.4 billion DOGS, with a notional turnover of roughly $624,000. Price action and volume suggest bearish continuation with key levels under pressure.
Structure & Formations
Price action on DOGSUSDT showed a bearish bias throughout the 24-hour period, with a notable pullback forming after a midday rally. A key support level formed around $0.0000590–$0.0000595, which acted as a temporary floor multiple times but ultimately failed to hold. A bearish engulfing pattern emerged in the late evening, confirming downward momentum. A doji near $0.0000601 hinted at indecision earlier in the session but was quickly broken.
Moving Averages
The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart intersected during the midday rally, suggesting a temporary bullish bias. However, by the close, prices had fallen below both moving averages, reinforcing bearish momentum. On the daily timeframe, the 50-period MA is positioned above the 200-period MA, suggesting a potential bearish trend continuation.
MACD & RSI
The MACD line crossed below the signal line in the late morning, forming a bearish crossover. This signaled a potential continuation of downward pressure, which was confirmed by the subsequent sell-off. The RSI reached overbought levels (above 60) during the midday rally but quickly dropped below 40, indicating oversold conditions later in the session. This rapid shift in momentum highlights the asset’s volatility and susceptibility to quick reversals.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands expanded significantly during the midday rally, with prices reaching the upper band before reversing. As prices moved lower, they closed near the lower band by the end of the day, suggesting a contraction in volatility and a consolidation phase. This move within the bands indicates that traders were operating within the expected range for now.
Volume & Turnover
Volume surged during the midday rally, with a peak of $6.15e-05 at $0.0000617. However, volume and turnover declined sharply in the final hours, despite continued downward movement. This divergence between price and volume suggests potential exhaustion or a lack of conviction in the current bearish trend.
Fibonacci Retracements
Applying Fibonacci retracement levels to the key 15-minute swing from $0.0000580 to $0.0000617, price found initial support at the 38.2% level ($0.0000601) but failed to hold at the 61.8% level ($0.0000597). The 50% level at $0.0000600 also served as a temporary floor before the final leg down. These levels could continue to act as barriers in the near term.
Backtest Hypothesis
The backtest described for the Harbor Alpha Layering ETF (HOLD.P) involves trading on the MACD Death Cross—when the MACD line crosses below the signal line. Given the bearish bias seen in DOGSUSDT over the past 24 hours, including a recent MACD crossover and a declining RSI, a similar strategy could be applied here. However, DOGSUSDT’s high volatility and low liquidity compared to the ETF may require tighter stop-losses or smaller position sizing. A 1-day-hold strategy triggered by a MACD Death Cross in DOGSUSDT would require confirmation of the signal and a clear exit at the next day’s close. Further testing would be needed to assess its viability in this market.
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