Summary
• Price fell from $4.36 to $4.18 over 24 hours amid bearish momentum and thin volume.
• A key support zone emerged near $4.25–$4.22 with multiple retests and rejection.
• Volatility expanded after 09:00 ET, with a sharp selloff driving price below key moving averages.
• MACD turned bearish, while RSI signaled oversold conditions near $4.16.
• Bollinger Bands widened post-09:00 ET as the trend accelerated toward the lower band.
DOGS/Tether (DOGSUSDT) opened at $4.36 on 2025-12-20 at 12:00 ET, reaching a high of $4.39 before closing at $4.18 on 2025-12-21 at 12:00 ET, with a low of $4.12. Total volume across the 24-hour window was 7.88 billion DOGS, and notional turnover (using close prices) amounted to approximately $331,824.
Structure & Formations
Price tested the $4.25–$4.22 range multiple times with bearish responses, including bearish harami and gravestone doji patterns suggesting indecision and bearish bias. A large bearish engulfing pattern formed after 09:00 ET, confirming the breakdown below the key $4.35–$4.36 resistance.
Moving Averages
On the 5-minute chart, price dropped below the 20- and 50-period moving averages by late morning ET, signaling bearish momentum. On the daily chart, the 50-period MA currently rests at $4.31, suggesting further downside could test the 100- and 200-period MAs at $4.26 and $4.20, respectively.
MACD & RSI
MACD turned negative with bearish divergence, as the histogram shrunk after the sell-off, hinting at possible short-term exhaustion. RSI reached oversold levels near $4.16, raising the possibility of a near-term bounce, although a sustained recovery would require strong volume and a rejection of this level.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands expanded after 09:00 ET as volatility increased. Price remained near or below the lower band for several hours, indicating aggressive bearish continuation. A potential rebound from the lower band could test the $4.22–$4.25 range.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked during the morning sell-off, with a large block of 550 million DOGS traded at 13:45 ET. Notional turnover followed a similar pattern, confirming the bearish move. However, recent volume has thinned slightly as the price approached oversold territory, hinting at potential consolidation or reversal.
Fibonacci Retracements
Fibonacci levels on the key 5-minute move from $4.39 to $4.12 suggest 38.2% ($4.31) and 61.8% ($4.24) as potential reentry points. On the daily chart, the 61.8% retracement of the broader move lies near $4.20, aligning with the 200-period MA and forming a critical support level.
Price appears to have entered a low-volatility consolidation phase near $4.16–$4.18. A rebound above $4.25 may rekindle bullish sentiment, but without increased volume, any bounce could remain limited. Investors should be cautious as a break below $4.12 could trigger further selling into lower liquidity levels.
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