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Summary
• Price dropped from $0.12762 to $0.12525 with bearish volume expansion.
• RSI near oversold territory, suggesting potential rebound or consolidation.
• Bollinger Bands show tightened volatility before a break below the 20-period MA.
Dogecoin/World Liberty Financial USD (DOGEUSD1) opened at $0.12753 on 2025-12-25 12:00 ET, reached a high of $0.12762, and closed at $0.12525 by 12:00 ET on 2025-12-26. The 24-hour volume was 3,141,980.8 and the notional turnover was $394,667.5.
Structure & Formations
The price action formed a bearish trend, with a decisive break below key support at $0.12553 and $0.12528. The final close near $0.12525 suggests a possible short-term bottoming process. A bullish engulfing pattern is forming near $0.12555 but remains unconfirmed.
Moving Averages
On the 5-minute chart, price has been trading below the 20-period MA for most of the 24-hour period. The 50-period MA has also been bearish, with price failing to close above it. On the daily chart, the 50/100/200-period MAs remain in a descending order, reinforcing bearish sentiment.
MACD & RSI
The MACD line has been negative throughout the session, with the histogram showing a broadening bearish divergence. RSI has fallen into oversold territory near 30, indicating a potential pause or reversal in the short term, though a rebound could still be bearish in nature.

Bollinger Bands
Volatility decreased significantly during the early morning hours before expanding again after 08:00 ET. Price closed near the lower band, indicating a potential bounce or a continuation of bearish pressure.
Volume & Turnover
Volume surged near the 23:00–04:00 ET window as price fell below $0.1255, with notional turnover expanding in tandem. However, volume has since declined, suggesting the bearish momentum may be fading. A divergence is forming between price and volume near $0.12528, hinting at a possible pause.
Fibonacci Retracements
On the 5-minute chart, the price has retested the 61.8% retracement level at $0.1253 before falling further. On the daily chart, the $0.12525 level aligns with the 61.8% retracement of the recent bearish leg, suggesting a potential support area for further consolidation.
In the near term, DOGEUSD1 appears to be testing oversold conditions after a sharp drop. A bounce above $0.1255 could trigger a short-term pullback, but a sustained break below $0.12523 would raise the risk of further downside. Investors should monitor for confirmation of a bullish reversal pattern and volume behavior over the next 24 hours.
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