Market Overview for First Digital USD/Tether (FDUSDUSDT)

Sunday, Jan 4, 2026 8:32 pm ET1min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- FDUSD/USDT traded narrowly between 0.9992-1.0003 with moderate volume (22.7M) and aligned turnover.

- RSI showed bearish divergence late in the session while volatility dropped post-midday spike.

- 0.9995-0.9996 emerged as key support after repeated tests, with 50-period MA above longer-term averages.

- Technical indicators suggest neutral bias despite bearish engulfing patterns and potential bullish pinocchios.

- Traders should monitor RSI divergence and volume confirmation near critical support/resistance levels.

Summary
• Price fluctuated narrowly between 0.9992–1.0003 on moderate volume.
• A small bearish divergence appears in RSI during late hours.
• Volatility dropped significantly after a sharp midday spike.
• Volume and turnover trends remain aligned, suggesting genuine demand.
• A potential support level forms around 0.9995–0.9996 after repeated tests.

First Digital USD/Tether (FDUSDUSDT) opened at 0.9997 at 12:00 ET–1, reached a high of 1.0003, and a low of 0.9992, closing at 0.9993 as of 12:00 ET. Total volume for the 24-hour period was 22,776,636.0, with notional turnover of 22,742,131.0.

Structure and Formations


The pair formed a range-bound consolidation pattern between 0.9995 and 1.0002 throughout the day. A bearish engulfing pattern appeared briefly near 1.0001–0.9999 during the overnight session, followed by a potential bullish pinocchio near 0.9993 in the final candle.

Moving Averages

On the 5-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages remained tightly aligned near 0.9998, suggesting a neutral bias. The daily chart shows the 50-period MA above the 100 and 200-period MAs, pointing to mild bullish momentum over a longer horizon.

Momentum and Volatility


Relative Strength Index (RSI) peaked near 65 and declined into the mid-40s by the end of the period, indicating weakening bullish momentum. MACD showed a narrowing histogram and a near-zero crossover, reinforcing the neutral tone. Bollinger Bands contracted in the afternoon before a brief expansion at the high of 1.0003.

Volume and Turnover


Volume remained moderate throughout, with the most significant spike occurring at 00:45 ET when the price rose to 1.0001. Notional turnover closely followed volume trends, suggesting no major divergence in price and flow.

Fibonacci Retracements


Fib levels drawn from the morning high (1.0003) and overnight low (0.9992) show 0.9998 as the 38.2% retracement and 0.9995 as the 61.8% level. The price tested both levels multiple times, with 0.9995–0.9996 showing initial signs of support.

Over the next 24 hours, a break below 0.9995 could trigger a test of 0.9992, while a retest of 1.0003 may signal renewed short-term bullish intent. Investors should monitor for divergence in RSI and volume confirmation around key support and resistance levels.