Market Overview for DigiByte/Tether (DGBUSDT) on 2025-09-23
• Price for DGBUSDT declined by 0.00005 or 0.66% over the 24-hour window, closing near a key support level.
• Volume surged in the overnight session, indicating increased selling pressure and potential bearish continuation.
• RSI is within neutral territory, while MACD shows bearish divergence in the later half of the day.
• Bollinger Bands have tightened in early morning hours, suggesting a potential breakout in either direction.
• A bearish engulfing pattern emerged at the peak, reinforcing the likelihood of further downside.
The DigiByte/Tether (DGBUSDT) pair opened at 0.00756 on 2025-09-22 at 12:00 ET and closed at 0.00755 the following day at the same hour. The price reached a high of 0.00766 and a low of 0.00741 during the 24-hour period. Total traded volume was 94,544,357.8, and the notional turnover was approximately $701,207 (based on weighted average price). The price has shown a bearish bias, especially in the late Eastern time overnight session.
In terms of structure, DGBUSDT has been consolidating between the key support at 0.00749 and resistance at 0.00766 over the past day. A bearish engulfing pattern formed around 0.00762, signaling potential bearish continuation. A doji appeared near 0.00755 in the early morning, suggesting indecision and possible short-term consolidation. The 15-minute chart shows a descending triangle forming, with a likely target of 0.00741 if the support holds.
The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart indicate a bearish crossover, with the 50-SMA acting as a ceiling in the early morning. On the daily chart, the 50-period and 200-period moving averages are aligned to the downside, reinforcing the bearish bias. The RSI hovered around 50 for most of the session, with a slight bearish divergence noted in the last few hours. The MACD remained below the signal line, with a bearish crossover confirmed in the early morning.
Bollinger Bands on the 15-minute chart showed a tightening contraction in the early hours of 2025-09-23, indicating potential for a breakout. Prices have largely stayed within the bands, but a break below the lower band could confirm bearish momentum. The 20-period band was tested at 0.00752, with a failed attempt to break above in the mid-morning. The current volatility is moderate, with the bands suggesting a potential target range of 0.00749 to 0.00765.
Volume spiked significantly in the overnight session, particularly around 19:30 ET, when the price dropped from 0.00754 to 0.00747. This divergence between volume and price suggests strong bearish conviction. However, in the late morning, volume decreased despite the continued decline, indicating potential exhaustion in the downside move. The notional turnover has also decreased in recent hours, suggesting reduced participation and possibly an approaching consolidation phase.
Fibonacci retracement levels from the recent 15-minute swing high of 0.00766 to the low of 0.00741 show the pair currently testing the 61.8% level at 0.00752. A break below this level could target the 78.6% level near 0.00745. On the daily chart, the 38.2% retracement level at 0.00753 was tested in the mid-morning, and a failure to break above could lead to further downside to 0.00749.
Looking ahead, DGBUSDT appears to be entering a critical phase. A break below 0.00752 could target 0.00745, while a retest of 0.00756 may trigger a short-covering rally. However, traders should remain cautious of a false breakout and volatility spikes in the next 24 hours.
Backtest Hypothesis: The backtesting strategy outlined relies on the convergence of bearish candlestick patterns (such as the engulfing and doji) with volume spikes and Fibonacci retracement levels. In this case, the bearish engulfing at 0.00762 and the doji at 0.00755 were accompanied by significant volume surges, providing a high-probability short entry. The 61.8% Fibonacci level at 0.00752 acts as the immediate target, with a stop-loss placed above 0.00756 to manage risk. This approach could be applied to similar market conditions where price is consolidating around a key support level and shows signs of bearish exhaustion.
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