Summary
• DeXe/Tether (DEXEUSDT) closed lower by 2.5% on a bearish reversal pattern amid increased volatility.
• Momentum weakened in the final 6 hours, as RSI approached oversold territory and MACD diverged from price.
• Bollinger Bands widened midday, indicating heightened uncertainty and a possible consolidation phase ahead.
• Trading volume surged over $52M, but turnover failed to confirm bullish breakouts seen earlier in the session.
• Key support appears near 3.70–3.71, with a critical 61.8% Fibonacci level at 3.732 acting as a potential pivot.
DeXe/Tether (DEXEUSDT) opened at 3.95 and traded between 4.028 and 3.675 before closing at 3.713 at 12:00 ET. The 24-hour period saw a total trading volume of 76,230 units and a notional turnover of approximately $285.6 million, reflecting strong liquidity but mixed price sentiment.
Structure & Formations
The price action developed a bearish reversal pattern following a sharp rally in the afternoon. A key resistance level appears near 4.037, with a breakdown below 3.853 confirming the bearish shift. A morning doji and a large bearish engulfing candle in the 18:15–18:30 ET window signaled growing bearish pressure. The 3.713 close nears a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the 4.028 high, indicating a potential pivot zone for near-term buyers.
Momentum and Volatility
Momentum slowed in the final 6 hours, with RSI dipping toward oversold levels in the 30s by 05:00–06:00 ET, despite a slight rebound in the late morning. MACD showed bearish divergence with the price, as the histogram contracted during a rally.
Volatility spiked midday as Bollinger Bands expanded, reflecting heightened market uncertainty. Price spent most of the day near the lower band, suggesting continued bearish bias.
Volume and Turnover
Trading volume peaked in the afternoon with a large candle (12:15–12:30 ET) confirming a breakdown from the 3.991–4.037 range. However, volume and turnover diverged in the final hours of the session, as price drifted lower without a corresponding increase in trading activity. This could indicate reduced conviction among sellers or a lack of follow-through on the bearish breakdown.
Forward-Looking Observations
With the price near key support at 3.70–3.71 and a bearish divergence in momentum indicators, a test of that area could trigger further selling pressure. However, a rebound from the 61.8% Fibonacci level (3.732) may attract near-term buyers. Investors should watch for a break below 3.70 as a potential catalyst for a deeper correction. As always, liquidity conditions and macro sentiment could alter this path.
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