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• Dego Finance/Tether (DEGOUSDT) closed near the 1.200 support after a sharp 24-hour pullback from 1.253.
• Momentum reversed from positive to neutral as RSI crossed into oversold territory and MACD turned bearish.
• Volatility surged in the early hours, with intraday range expanding to 1.253–1.142 before consolidating.
• Volume spiked during the sell-off, indicating strong short-term bearish conviction but failed to confirm a breakdown below 1.200.
• Key support at 1.200 and resistance at 1.235–1.241 appear to be pivotal for near-term directional bias.
Dego Finance/Tether (DEGOUSDT) opened at 1.223 on 2025-09-21 at 12:00 ET, reaching a high of 1.253 before settling at 1.198 at 12:00 ET on 2025-09-22. The 24-hour price range spanned 1.253–1.142, with total volume of 821,010.89 and turnover of $995,621.23. A sharp sell-off in the early hours of 09/22 pushed price below critical psychological levels, setting up a key test of the 1.200 support.
The price action formed a bearish continuation pattern with a strong breakdown candle on 2025-0922 at 06:15 ET, closing at 1.209 after a 1.22–1.142 swing. A bullish engulfing pattern at the 05:45–06:00 ET range failed to sustain gains. Immediate support is at 1.200, while resistance levels at 1.216 (23.6% Fib) and 1.235–1.241 (38.2%–61.8% Fib) appear pivotal. A breakdown below 1.200 could target 1.187, while a rebound above 1.216 may re-ignite a test of the 1.235–1.241 range.
Price spent much of the session within the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting heightened bearish pressure. The RSI has entered the 30–35 range, signaling oversold conditions but not a reversal. MACD turned bearish, with the histogram narrowing toward zero, suggesting weakening momentum. A 50-period moving average at ~1.208 and 20-period at ~1.212 both show bearish divergence from price, reinforcing the short-term risk of further consolidation or a deeper pullback.
Backtest Hypothesis
A potential strategy could involve shorting DEGOUSDT after a confirmed breakdown of the 1.200 support with a stop above 1.216 and a target at 1.187, leveraging the bearish engulfing and RSI oversold conditions. This approach would aim to capitalize on the continuation of the 24-hour trend, supported by MACD divergence and volume confirmation during the initial sell-off. Long positions could be considered on a strong rebound above 1.235, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci level and potential break of the 50/20 EMA crossover. Both entries would benefit from tight stop-loss placements to manage risk effectively.
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