• DASH/USDT rose 2.1% over the last 24 hours amid moderate volume, with a breakout above 24.00 seen briefly.
• RSI showed signs of overbought conditions near 70, while MACD remained positive with a narrowing histogram.
• A key support at 23.60 and resistance at 24.00 defined short-term price behavior.
• Volatility expanded during the breakout before retreating, with volume confirming initial bullish momentum.
• A bearish divergence in RSI and price emerged after the 24.00 level, hinting at potential near-term profit-taking.
Dash/Tether
(DASHUSDT) opened at $23.72 on 2025-09-05 at 12:00 ET, reaching a high of $24.10 before closing at $23.59 on 2025-09-06 at 12:00 ET. The 24-hour trading volume was
15,749.69 and the total notional turnover was
$380,875.10.
Structure & Formations
Price tested key support at
23.60 and resistance at
24.00 multiple times during the 24-hour period. A bullish breakout above 24.00 occurred but failed to sustain, with a bearish engulfing pattern forming at the peak. A morning session rally failed to close above the high, suggesting short-term profit-taking or uncertainty. A bearish dark cloud cover pattern emerged near 24.00, signaling potential reversal.
Moving Averages
On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period SMAs crossed over near 23.90, forming a golden cross early in the session, which confirmed the initial bullish move. However, as the price fell back, the 20 SMA dipped below the 50 SMA by the end of the period, hinting at a potential bearish crossover. On the daily chart, the 50 SMA sits just below the 100 and 200 SMA, suggesting a neutral to slightly bearish bias at the longer time frame.
MACD & RSI
The MACD line remained positive for much of the session, with a short bullish crossover in the morning. However, it began to turn negative by the end of the day, with a narrowing histogram showing fading momentum. RSI peaked near
70, entering overbought territory, before declining into neutral levels. A bearish divergence formed between RSI and price near 24.00, suggesting caution for further buying.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility expanded during the morning breakout, with price pushing above the upper band briefly before retreating. By late afternoon, the bands began to contract, indicating a potential consolidation phase. Price closed near the middle band but below the 20-period SMA, which may signal a test of the lower band in the near term.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked during the morning breakout but then declined sharply as price retracted. Notional turnover mirrored this pattern, with a peak of
$38,943.00 in the 9–10 AM ET hour before easing. The divergence between price and turnover after the breakout suggests reduced conviction in the bullish move, increasing the likelihood of a pullback.
Fibonacci Retracements
On the 15-minute chart, the recent swing high at 24.10 and low at 23.60 define a 500-point move. Price retested the 61.8% retracement level at
23.85 multiple times before falling below it. On the daily chart, the 38.2% retracement at
23.90 acted as a minor support earlier in the day, but it failed to hold. A retest of the 23.60 support is likely if the 23.85 level breaks.
Backtest Hypothesis
The backtest strategy involves entering long positions on a golden cross (20 EMA > 50 EMA) and exiting on a death cross (20 EMA < 50 EMA), with a stop-loss at the recent swing low and a target at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Given the recent 15-minute EMA crossover and the bearish divergence in RSI, a short-term bearish bias could emerge, potentially invalidating the long setup. However, if the 23.60 support holds, a bounce back to 24.00 might still occur, which could confirm the strategy’s assumptions.
Comments
No comments yet