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Summary
• Price rallied to $0.2439 before consolidating near $0.2425, forming bullish and bearish engulfing patterns.
• RSI and MACD suggest waning momentum with potential overbought/oversold rotation.
• Volume spiked above average during the push to highs, but turnover diverged at the close.
• Price remains within a tight Bollinger Band range, indicating low volatility.
• Fibonacci retracement levels suggest key support at $0.2403 and resistance at $0.2425.
CoW Protocol/USDC (COWUSDC) opened at $0.2383 on 2026-01-05 at 12:00 ET, reached a high of $0.2439, and closed at $0.2391 on 2026-01-06 at 12:00 ET, with a low of $0.2365. Total 24-hour volume was 225,654.3 and turnover $55,567.13.
Structure & Candlestick Formations
Price tested key resistance at $0.2432 and formed a bullish engulfing pattern during the late overnight rally. A bearish engulfing pattern emerged at the top of the range, signaling indecision. Doji occurred near key Fibonacci levels, hinting at potential turning points.

Moving Averages and Momentum
Short-term (20/50-period) moving averages on the 5-minute chart crossed above the price during the late-night rally, suggesting a potential continuation. RSI briefly entered overbought territory but has since pulled back toward neutral ground, indicating possible exhaustion.
Volatility and Bollinger Bands
Price action remained within a narrow Bollinger Band range, suggesting low volatility. The recent rally pushed price near the upper band, but no strong breakout emerged. The band width has begun to widen slightly, possibly foreshadowing a directional move.
Volume and Turnover
Volume surged during the rally to $0.2439, with a turnover of $614.67 at the top. However, volume dropped significantly after the high, while turnover continued to trend lower, pointing to possible divergence.
Fibonacci Retracements
Key Fibonacci levels from the $0.2365 to $0.2439 swing suggest strong support at $0.2403 and resistance at $0.2425. Price appears to have found short-term support at $0.2403 in the morning, with potential to test resistance again if buyers reenter.
COWUSDC may attempt to retest $0.2425 in the next 24 hours, but risks pullback to $0.2403 if momentum fails to follow through. Investors should watch for volume confirmation at key levels.
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