Summary
•
rallied from $2.15 to $2.33 in 24 hours, forming a bullish breakout above key resistance at $2.25.
• RSI surged into overbought territory near 75, while volume spiked to $115k+ in key 5-minute intervals.
• Price tested and retested $2.21–$2.23 support, forming bullish engulfing and inside bars.
• Volatility expanded through Bollinger Bands, with price hovering near the upper band in the final 6 hours.
• Fibonacci levels at 61.8% ($2.27) and 78.6% ($2.31) appear to have acted as dynamic resistance-turned-support.
24-Hour Price and Volume Summary
Convex Finance/Tether (CVXUSDT) opened at $2.19 on 2026-01-17 12:00 ET and closed at $2.289 as of 2026-01-18 12:00 ET. The 24-hour high reached $2.33, while the low was $2.15. Total trading volume amounted to 507,334.46 units, with notional turnover exceeding $115,612.97.
Structure & Formations
Price action on the 5-minute chart showed multiple bullish signals, including a bullish engulfing pattern at $2.21–$2.23 and several inside bars during consolidation. A key breakout above $2.25 on 2026-01-18 14:30 ET marked the beginning of a strong upward leg. The most recent support appears to be at $2.21–$2.23, with resistance forming at $2.27–$2.29.
Technical Indicators
The 20- and 50-period moving averages on the 5-minute chart crossed in favor of bulls, reinforcing the upward bias. MACD showed a positive divergence with a narrowing histogram, but the fast line remains above zero. RSI pushed into overbought territory near 75, indicating potential for a near-term consolidation phase.
Volatility and Bollinger Bands
Volatility expanded significantly in the last 6 hours, with the 20-period Bollinger Bands widening from ~$0.03 to ~$0.08. Price traded near the upper band during the final hours, suggesting high conviction in the upward move. A contraction may be expected after the recent expansion, signaling a potential pause.
Volume and Turnover
Volume surged during the late afternoon and evening ET, with a notable spike of 50,733.47 units at $2.26–$2.29 on 2026-01-18 14:30 ET. Notional turnover also spiked to over $115k during this period. Volume and price action aligned, confirming the breakout rather than indicating divergence.
Fibonacci Retracements
Fibonacci levels derived from the key swing at $2.15–$2.33 showed significant confluence around 61.8% ($2.27) and 78.6% ($2.31), both of which acted as dynamic resistance and then support during the consolidation phase. These levels could now serve as potential price targets or retests in the near term.
Convex Finance/Tether may continue testing key Fibonacci and moving average levels in the next 24 hours, with a possible pullback into the $2.23–$2.27 range likely if momentum wanes. Investors should remain cautious of a short-term correction if RSI fails to stay above 65 and volume declines.
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