Market Overview for Compound/Tether (COMPUSDT)

Wednesday, Dec 10, 2025 6:05 pm ET1min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- COMPUSDT price dropped 5.5% below $31.85 support, confirmed by high-volume bearish breakout.

- 61.8% Fibonacci retracement aligned with failed support, while RSI hit oversold levels without bullish reversal patterns.

- Bollinger Bands widened by $0.25 and short-term moving averages remained bearish, signaling continued distribution pressure.

- Key near-term support at $31.30-31.35 may trigger bounce, but sustained recovery requires a close above $31.70.

Summary
• Price fell sharply after 17:00 ET, breaking below key support levels.
• High volume confirmed bearish momentum with no overbought RSI.
• Bollinger Bands widened, reflecting increased volatility.
• Fibonacci retracement at 61.8% coincided with a sharp pullback.
• No significant bullish reversal patterns emerged in the 24-hour window.

Compound/Tether (COMPUSDT) opened at $32.32 on 2025-12-09 at 12:00 ET, reached a high of $32.38, and closed at $31.47 by 12:00 ET-1 on 2025-12-10. Total traded volume was 39,882.44, with notional turnover of approximately $1,278,000.

Structure & Formations


Price action showed a prolonged bearish bias, with a key support level forming at $31.40–$31.45. A sharp breakdown below $31.85 initiated a 5.5% decline, with no major bullish candlestick patterns like hammers or bullish engulfing forming during the session. The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the earlier $32.18–$32.38 move aligned closely with the $31.85 support, which then failed, confirming bearish momentum.

Moving Averages and Momentum


Short-term moving averages (20/50) on the 5-minute chart were bearishly aligned, with price consistently below both. The daily chart suggests a longer-term consolidation phase, as the 200-day MA remains out of reach. RSI reached oversold territory in the final hours, hinting at potential short-term buying interest, though a full reversal remains unlikely without a close above $31.75.

Volatility and Volume


Volatility increased significantly around the $31.85 breakdown, with Bollinger Bands widening to over $0.25.
Volume spiked during the breakdown, validating the move. A divergence between price and volume was not observed, which suggests the bearish move is still in force. Notional turnover increased in line with price declines, showing strong distribution pressures.

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Forward Outlook and Risk


With support now near $31.30–$31.35, a retest of this zone could trigger a short-covering bounce. However, without a clear break above $31.70 to reassert bullish control, further consolidation or a test of $31.20 remains possible. Investors should monitor volume and 61.8% retracement levels for potential reversal cues or breakdown confirmation.