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Summary
• Price drifted lower after a sharp morning rally, closing near intraday low.
• Volume surged in early hours, suggesting renewed short-term interest.
• RSI remains neutral, with no clear overbought or oversold signals.
• Bollinger Bands show moderate volatility, price hovering near the lower band.
• No strong reversal patterns emerged; trend remains undefined.
Civic/Tether (CVCUSDT) opened at $0.04154 on 2025-12-28 at 12:00 ET − 1, and traded as high as $0.04296 before closing at $0.04173 at 12:00 ET. The pair touched a low of $0.04111 during the session. Total 24-hour volume amounted to 3,141,438.0 units, with notional turnover of $131,607.06.
Structure & Formations
The 24-hour OHLCV data shows a broad consolidation after a sharp but brief bullish breakout in the first 45 minutes of the session. A candle at 00:45 ET displayed a wide range ($0.04172 to $0.04296) and large volume, suggesting early buyers had a strong impact before the price drifted lower. Key support appears to be forming around $0.0415–0.0417, where the price has repeatedly found buying interest. No clear bearish or bullish reversal patterns (e.g., doji, engulfing) emerged during the session, though a potential bullish pinbar was seen at 06:00 ET.

Moving Averages
On the 5-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages crossed near $0.04173–0.0418 early in the session, suggesting a potential short-term shift in momentum. By midday, the 20SMA had moved slightly lower, aligning closer with the 50SMA. On the daily chart, the 50/100/200-day moving averages are broadly aligned, indicating a flat or range-bound market at the longer term.
MACD & RSI
The MACD showed a brief positive crossover in the first 30 minutes of the session, followed by a slow divergence as price drifted lower. This suggests the initial buying momentum was not sustained. The RSI stayed within neutral territory (30–70) for most of the session, with no indication of overbought or oversold conditions. However, the RSI bottomed near 30 at 06:00 ET, suggesting a mild oversold condition that coincided with a bounce.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility was moderate, with Bollinger Bands expanding slightly after the early rally. The price spent most of the session near the lower band, reinforcing a bearish bias in the short term. A few candles briefly tested the upper band in the morning, but failed to hold above it. This suggests traders may be waiting for a clearer breakout.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked dramatically in the first 45 minutes (5.34 million units) during the initial rally, with a corresponding surge in turnover. This was followed by a noticeable drop in volume later in the session, suggesting traders may be pausing or waiting for a catalyst. Notional turnover remained largely in line with volume, with no significant divergence observed. Price and turnover moved in tandem during the morning, but diverged slightly in the afternoon.
Fibonacci Retracements
Applying Fibonacci levels to the morning’s bullish swing (from $0.04172 to $0.04296), the price has retraced to around 61.8% ($0.0419), aligning with the 12:00 ET close. This suggests traders may view the $0.0418–0.0419 range as a key psychological level in the near term. Further downward movement would test the 78.6% level near $0.0415, which has already shown support.
The next 24 hours may see a test of the $0.0415–0.0417 support range, with a potential bounce expected if buyers re-enter. However, traders should remain cautious of further consolidation or a break below key levels, which could trigger more bearish follow-through.
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