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• • •
• Price dipped to $0.0527 before rallying to $0.0565 on high volume.
• MACD and RSI suggest rising momentum, with RSI in overbought territory near close.
• Volatility expanded during selloff, with Bollinger Bands widening through 19:00–20:00 ET.
• Large-volume bearish reversal at $0.0555 may signal short-term resistance.
• Turnover surged to $7.8M in final hour, signaling renewed interest.
ChainGPT/Tether (CGPTUSDT) opened at $0.0585 on 2025-10-11 12:00 ET and traded as low as $0.0527 before closing at $0.0565 on 2025-10-12 12:00 ET. The 24-hour high was $0.0592, and the low was $0.0527. Total traded volume was 15.8M units, and notional turnover reached $865,000, with increased activity in the final 6 hours.
Price structure reveals a bearish breakdown and recovery pattern during the first half of the 24-hour period, followed by a consolidation phase and a late push higher. Key support levels were identified at $0.0545 and $0.0530, while resistance emerged at $0.0565 and $0.0575. A bearish engulfing pattern formed at $0.0555 during the early morning hours, suggesting a potential short-term stall in the upward move.
The 15-minute RSI peaked near 70 during the final hour, while the MACD line crossed above the signal line, reinforcing bullish momentum. However, the 50-period MA on the 15-minute chart briefly dipped below the 20-period MA during the selloff, indicating a temporary bearish tilt. Bollinger Bands reflected increased volatility during the downturn, with prices briefly dropping below the lower band before rebounding.
Fibonacci retracement levels on the 15-minute swing from $0.0592 to $0.0527 identified $0.0561 (61.8%) as a key psychological level. Price tested this level twice and found support, suggesting increased buying interest at this retracement point. Volume spiked during the late morning and early afternoon hours, particularly in the last hour before the 12:00 ET close, confirming the bullish reversal.
Backtest Hypothesis
The observed Fibonacci retracement at 61.8% and the confirmed bullish MACD crossover present a potential entry signal for traders. A backtesting strategy could focus on entering long positions on a confirmed close above the 61.8% retracement level ($0.0561) with a stop-loss just below the recent swing low at $0.0550. A target could be set at the next Fibonacci level at $0.0575 (78.6%) or the 50-period MA. This setup appears to align well with the observed late-day bullish momentum and could be tested over historical 15-minute data to assess its consistency and risk-reward profile.
Looking ahead, CGPTUSDT may test the $0.0565–$0.0570 range as the next key resistance cluster. A break above $0.0575 could accelerate momentum, while a retest of $0.0555–$0.0560 could provide a second opportunity to confirm strength. However, traders should remain cautious of any divergences in volume or RSI, as volatility remains high.
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