Market Overview: Celestia/Tether (TIAUSDT) – 24-Hour Technical Analysis (2025-09-24)

• TIAUSDT traded in a descending range with a low of $1.460, rebounding near $1.485 before a final close near $1.472.
• Volatility expanded during the overnight session, with a deep pullback to $1.441 followed by a recovery toward mid-range levels.
• Momentum weakened late in the session, with RSI below 50 and a bearish MACD crossover indicating potential exhaustion in bullish moves.
• High-volume divergence appeared during the $1.440–1.460 rebound, suggesting cautious sentiment despite price action.
• Key support is holding near $1.468–1.471, with resistance expected to test at $1.482–1.487 in the near term.

Celestia/Tether (TIAUSDT) opened at $1.49 on 2025-09-23 12:00 ET, reached a high of $1.503, and closed at $1.472 by 2025-09-24 12:00 ET. The pair traded within a descending consolidation pattern, with a low of $1.460 and a total volume of 2,000,287.05 across $2.98 million in turnover over 24 hours. Price action reflected bearish pressure in the early hours but showed signs of retesting key support levels.

Structure & Formations

Price traced a bearish flag pattern overnight, breaking down to $1.441 before consolidating back toward mid-range levels. A notable bearish engulfing pattern appeared at $1.486, signaling a potential short-term reversal. Key support levels formed at $1.468–1.471, while resistance appears at $1.482–1.487. A doji at $1.468–1.469 indicated indecision among traders, with bears ultimately reclaiming control after a failed breakout attempt.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages trended lower, with price frequently failing to close above them. The 50-period MA acted as a dynamic resistance in the morning, while the 20-period MA provided a temporary floor. On the daily timeframe, the 50, 100, and 200-period MAs remained bearish, with price hovering below the 50-day MA of ~$1.497, reinforcing a short-term bearish bias.

MACD & RSI

MACD turned bearish in the early hours, with a crossover below the signal line and negative histogram momentum. RSI reached an overbought peak at ~62 during the $1.486–1.489 consolidation before dropping toward the mid-40s, indicating weakening bullish momentum. While RSI did not enter oversold territory, its inability to rise above 50 suggests that buyers remain hesitant.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility expanded significantly overnight, with price reaching the lower Bollinger Band at $1.441 during a sharp pullback. The 15-minute band width widened to 1.4%, reflecting increased uncertainty and trading activity. As of the close, price sat near the middle band, suggesting a potential retest of upper resistance before a possible breakdown.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked sharply during the $1.441–1.466 rebound, reaching a 24-hour high of 589,784.47, which supported the bounce but failed to push price above key resistance. Notional turnover followed a similar pattern, with a $2.98 million total over 24 hours. The divergence between volume and price—where volume spiked during a failed breakout—signals weakening bullish conviction.

Fibonacci Retracements

A 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the overnight $1.441–1.486 range fell at ~$1.471, aligning with recent support levels. Price stalled near this level, failing to break below it, suggesting it may act as a pivot for the next 24–48 hours. On the 15-minute chart, the 38.2% level at ~$1.481 marked a temporary ceiling before a bearish reversal took hold.

Backtest Hypothesis

Given the observed bearish momentum and key Fibonacci support at $1.471, a backtesting strategy could be designed to enter short positions on a break below this level with a stop above the 61.8% retracement. A target of $1.462–1.460 could be tested based on the 2025-09-23 19:30–22:00 consolidation. For a long bias, a retest of the 1.482–1.487 resistance—confirmed by a bullish candlestick—could signal an exit for shorts and an entry for longs, with a stop below 1.478. The volume divergence observed adds a probabilistic edge to the short-side setup.