Market Overview: Celestia/Tether (TIAUSDT) on 2025-12-31

Summary
• Price declined from 0.4635 to 0.4501 over 24 hours amid bearish momentum and low volatility.
• A strong sell-off occurred around 16:45 ET, with a 4.5% drop and massive volume.
• RSI and MACD signaled oversold conditions, but price failed to rebound above key support.
• Bollinger Bands showed a contraction in the early morning, followed by a sharp expansion.

Celestia/Tether (TIAUSDT) opened at 0.4635 on 2025-12-30 12:00 ET, touched a high of 0.4794, and fell to a low of 0.448 before closing at 0.4501 on 2025-12-31 12:00 ET. Total volume reached 2,665,467.91, and notional turnover hit $1,064,213.85.

Structure & Formations

Price action showed multiple bearish patterns, including a deep engulfing candle at 16:45 ET and a long bearish shadow in the final hour. Key support appeared at 0.4500, with 0.4550 acting as a minor resistance on rebounds. A doji formed around 03:30 ET, hinting at indecision ahead of the sharp sell-off.

Moving Averages

On the 5-minute chart, price closed well below the 20- and 50-period moving averages, confirming bearish bias. For the daily chart, TIAUSDT ended near the 200 SMA, indicating potential for consolidation or a test of 0.448 in the short term.

Momentum Indicators

The RSI approached oversold territory at 28-30 in the final hours but failed to trigger a sustainable rebound. MACD showed bearish divergence as price bottomed, with the histogram shrinking despite a sharp drop, suggesting waning bearish momentum.

Bollinger Bands and Volatility

Volatility tightened between 03:30 and 15:00 ET, with price consolidating within a narrow range. A sudden expansion occurred after 16:30 ET, coinciding with the sharp sell-off. Price closed near the lower Bollinger Band, signaling potential for a bounce in the short term.

Volume and Turnover

Volume surged during the 16:45–17:00 ET period with a $755k notional move, the largest single 5-minute turnover. Price and volume diverged slightly during the consolidation phase, but the final drop was confirmed by high volume, reinforcing bearish sentiment.

Fibonacci Retracements

The 61.8% Fibonacci level on the 0.448–0.4794 move aligns with 0.4620, where price previously found resistance. A 50% retracement sits at 0.4637 and could act as a pivot for near-term direction.

Price may find temporary support at 0.4500 in the coming 24 hours, but the large drop below 0.4550 suggests risks remain to the downside. Investors should watch for volume confirmation on any retest of key levels.