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• Price opened at $0.0001375 and dropped to a low of $0.0001287 before closing at $0.0001306.
• Momentum declined toward the session’s end as RSI approached oversold territory.
• Volatility surged with a 15-minute range of $0.0001291–$0.0001332, reflecting heightened selling pressure.
• Notional turnover was $94.88, with volume concentrated in the final 90 minutes, suggesting accumulation.
• A bearish engulfing pattern formed near $0.0001332, indicating short-term bearish bias.
BounceBit/BNB (BBBNB) opened at $0.0001375 on October 9, 2025, at 12:00 ET, and reached a high of $0.0001394 before declining to a session low of $0.0001287. The pair closed at $0.0001306 as of 12:00 ET October 10. Total 24-hour trading volume was 476,396.0 and notional turnover amounted to $94.88, driven by a sharp decline in the final hour.
Structure and formations reveal two key support levels near $0.0001326 and $0.0001291, with the latter acting as a significant psychological floor. Resistance appears clustered around $0.0001333 and $0.0001353, with a bearish engulfing pattern forming after a prior rally to $0.0001332 suggesting a potential short-term reversal. A doji near $0.0001329 and a spinning top at $0.0001327 reflect indecision and may signal a consolidation phase.
20- and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart intersect near $0.0001332, forming a dynamic resistance. On the daily chart, the 50- and 100-period lines align closer to $0.0001329, reinforcing the importance of the current level. The 200-period MA remains higher, indicating a bearish trend in a longer context. The price is below all major moving averages, pointing to a continuation of the downtrend.
MACD turned negative mid-session and remains bearish with a declining histogram. RSI fell below 30 during the last 90 minutes, signaling oversold conditions and potential for a short-term bounce. Bollinger Bands narrowed significantly near $0.0001326 before expanding with a sharp drop, suggesting increased volatility. Price remains below the 20-period lower band, highlighting weakness.
Fibonacci retracement levels from the high of $0.0001394 to the low of $0.0001287 show key levels at 38.2% (~$0.0001343) and 61.8% (~$0.0001317), both near recent price action. The 50% retracement is at $0.0001340, offering potential resistance ahead of the close.
Volume spiked near $0.0001301 with a total of 47,639.6 units, suggesting strong selling interest or accumulation. Turnover was concentrated in the final hour, aligning with the price drop to $0.0001287. Divergences between price and volume are absent, but the final leg down saw confirmation, indicating bearish continuation.
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The market may find a near-term bottom around $0.0001291 but faces immediate resistance at $0.0001317 and $0.0001332. A break below $0.0001291 could accelerate the downtrend, while a sustained close above $0.0001326 may spark a test of the 50-period MA. Investors should remain cautious given the high volatility and bearish momentum.
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Backtest Hypothesis
A potential strategy could focus on shorting at the 50-period MA break below $0.0001326 with a stop loss near $0.0001329. A target of $0.0001291 aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci level and recent support. The RSI’s oversold condition suggests a possible bounce, making this a high-risk trade with tight stops and defined profit targets. A backtest over prior 15-minute breaks of key moving averages and Fibonacci levels would help validate the model.
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