• BNBUSDT climbed 24-hour high of 865.0 before consolidating around 861.08 at 12:00 ET, with volume and turnover aligning with bullish momentum.
• Strong 15-minute bullish engulfing and reversal patterns were observed in the morning, signaling potential for further gains.
• RSI reached overbought territory, indicating short-term risks, while
Bands expanded, reflecting increased volatility.
• Key resistance at 861.32–862.0 and support at 856.4–858.41 were tested, confirming structural relevance for near-term positioning.
• Turnover surged above 455,421 at 13:00 ET, reflecting increased participation as prices approached the 24-hour high.
BNB/Tether USDt (BNBUSDT) opened at 849.32 on 2025-09-05 12:00 ET and traded as high as 865.0 before closing at 861.08 at 12:00 ET on 2025-09-06. The 24-hour period saw total volume of 455.421 and notional turnover of 861.08. Prices moved decisively higher with strong momentum, forming key bullish patterns and breaking above key resistance levels.
Structure & Formations
The 15-minute chart displayed a series of bullish engulfing patterns from 19:00 to 21:00 ET, suggesting a reversal of bearish pressure. A strong 3-hour consolidation phase followed, ending with a breakout above the 860.31–861.46 range. Key support levels were identified at 856.4–858.41, with resistance confirmed at 861.32–862.0. A doji near the 24-hour high at 861.32 suggested potential short-term indecision, but was quickly followed by a bullish continuation to 865.0.
Moving Averages
On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period MA and 50-period MA crossed in a bullish manner around 20:00 ET, supporting the upward move. On the daily timeframe, the 50-day MA acted as a dynamic support at 850.14, which was cleanly respected during the consolidation phase. The 100-day and 200-day MAs at 851.0 and 852.0 respectively remained below the current price, indicating strong momentum above the longer-term trend.
MACD & RSI
The MACD turned bullish after 19:00 ET, with a clear histogram expansion confirming the strength of the move higher. RSI reached overbought territory above 75 by 10:00 ET, signaling short-term exhaustion. However, the price did not reverse until after 13:00 ET, when RSI dipped into neutral territory, suggesting continued buyer interest. A divergence between price and RSI at 11:30–12:00 ET indicated potential for a retracement, though the overall bullish trend held.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands expanded significantly during the upward move, with the price closing near the upper band at 12:00 ET. Volatility spiked in the morning session, particularly between 01:00 and 03:00 ET, as the price pushed through key resistance. The upper band reached as high as 862.95 at 12:15 ET, suggesting a possible target for near-term continuation. The lower band remained at 856.4–856.7, which served as a psychological support during the consolidation.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked above 9,000 during the morning session, coinciding with the breakout above 861.32–862.0. Notional turnover followed suit, peaking above 455,421 at 13:00 ET as the price approached the 24-hour high. The correlation between rising volume and price suggests strong institutional or large-cap buying. A divergence emerged at 10:00–11:00 ET, where volume slowed despite continued price gains, indicating potential exhaustion. However, the final 15-minute candle at 12:00 ET saw renewed volume, confirming the bullish signal.
Fibonacci Retracements
Applying Fibonacci retracements to the 24-hour move from 848.8 to 865.0, key levels were identified at 857.5 (38.2%), 860.3 (50%), and 862.7 (61.8%). Prices tested the 50% and 61.8% levels in the final 3 hours, confirming their relevance as consolidation targets. On the daily chart, the 50% and 78.6% retracements of the prior bearish move were respected at 850.1 and 853.0, suggesting a strong likelihood of continued bullish momentum.
Backtest Hypothesis
A potential backtest strategy involves entering long on a bullish engulfing pattern confirmed by a break above the 50-period MA on the 15-minute chart, with a stop-loss placed below the 20-period MA. Target levels could be set at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and upper Bollinger Band, with an exit strategy on a close below the 50-period MA or RSI divergence. This strategy aligns with the observed price behavior, particularly the 20:00–22:00 ET consolidation and breakout. The high volume and notional turnover at key support and resistance levels provide strong confirmation signals that could be integrated into the backtest.
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