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Summary
• TAOIDR traded in a tight range around 3.8 million IDR before a sharp decline late in the session.
• Key support tested at 3.7 million IDR, with volume confirming the breakdown.
• Momentum indicators showed weak bearish divergence as RSI approached oversold territory.
• Bollinger Bands remained constricted until the final hours, signaling a potential breakout.
Bittensor/Rupiah (TAOIDR) opened at 3,796,003 IDR at 12:00 ET − 1, reaching a high of 3,821,687 IDR and a low of 3,677,000 IDR before closing at 3,720,080 IDR. Total volume stood at 43.645 units, with a notional turnover of 98,146,425.26 IDR.
Structure & Formations
The 24-hour candlestick pattern showed a long bearish body, with a key breakdown at 3.7 million IDR following a failed rebound. A doji formed near 3.8 million IDR, indicating indecision before the bearish move. The low of 3,677,000 IDR marked a 5% drop from the session high, with 3,720,000 IDR emerging as a potential short-term support level.
Moving Averages and Fibonacci Retracements
On the 5-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages were bearishly aligned, reinforcing the downward momentum. The breakdown below 3.75 million IDR aligned with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the prior 5-minute bullish swing, increasing the probability of further bearish continuation.
MACD & RSI
The MACD turned negative as the bearish move accelerated, while RSI approached oversold territory near 25–30. This suggests the asset may be due for a consolidation phase or a short-term bounce, but the bearish divergence remains intact.
Bollinger Bands and Volatility
Bollinger Bands were compressed for most of the session, with price breaking decisively below the lower band during the sharp decline. This volatility expansion is typical of a trend continuation, suggesting increased follow-through selling could occur if key support levels fail.
Volume and Turnover
Volume surged during the breakdown at 3.7 million IDR and again near the session low, confirming the bearish move. However, turnover did not expand as sharply, hinting at thin order flow at the lower end. A divergence between price and turnover raises the possibility of a near-term bounce or consolidation phase.
The path of least resistance appears to be to the downside in the near term, with support at 3.7 million IDR now in focus. However, a rebound above 3.8 million IDR could reinvigorate the bulls. Investors should remain cautious as volatility remains elevated, and sharp price swings may continue.
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