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Summary
• Price declined from 15,369,470 to 14,961,904 on bearish momentum and high volume.
• MACD and RSI signals confirm weakening bullish pressure and overbought correction.
• Bollinger Bands show increasing volatility as price drifted near the 50-period SMA.
• Key support levels at 15,100,000 and 14,950,000 appeared to hold during the final 5-minute candles.
• Volume was concentrated in the mid-to-late session, indicating a shift in sentiment.
Bitcoin/Yen (BTCJPY) opened at 15,312,599, surged to a high of 15,369,470, and fell to a low of 14,941,757, closing at 14,961,904 at 12:00 ET. Total volume was 21.776674 BTC, with a notional turnover of 369,144,102.09 JPY.
Structure & Moving Averages
Price action displayed a bearish bias after encountering key resistance levels near 15,360,000. A significant break below the 50-period and 20-period moving averages confirmed a shift in trend. The 50-period SMA at 15,200,000 acted as a temporary support, but the final 5-minute candles closed below this level.
Momentum Indicators

Bollinger Bands and Volatility
Bollinger Bands expanded significantly during the session, reflecting increased volatility. Price closed near the lower band, suggesting a potential bounce or continuation of the downward move depending on future buying pressure.
Volume and Turnover Analysis
Volume spiked in the late afternoon, with the most activity occurring between 14:45–15:30 ET. Despite the bearish price action, turnover increased during the decline, indicating strong conviction from sellers. No notable divergence between price and turnover was observed, confirming the bearish trend.
Fibonacci Retracements
Fibonacci levels from the 15,369,470 high to the 14,941,757 low showed key levels at 15,220,000 (38.2%) and 15,100,000 (61.8%). Price held briefly around the 61.8% level but broke below it during the final hour, suggesting further testing of support near 14,950,000.
The 24-hour session was marked by a strong bearish reversal from overbought conditions. A rebound from the 14,950,000–15,100,000 range could offer a short-term buying opportunity, but traders should remain cautious of further downside risk.
Forward-Looking Observation
Price appears to be consolidating near key support levels, with the RSI suggesting potential for a near-term bounce. However, without a strong rebound above the 50-period moving average, the bias remains bearish.
Risk Caution
Investors should be prepared for increased volatility or a potential breakdown below 14,950,000 in the next 24 hours, which could trigger a retest of 14,800,000 levels.
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