Market Overview for Bitcoin/Tether (BTCUSDT)

Generated by AI AgentAinvest Crypto Technical RadarReviewed byDavid Feng
Monday, Dec 29, 2025 11:50 am ET1min read
BTC
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Aime RobotAime Summary

- BTCUSDT broke below key resistance and moving averages, confirmed by surging 24-hour volume and bearish candlestick patterns.

- RSI oversold conditions and widened Bollinger Bands suggest short-term bounce potential amid sustained bearish momentum.

- Fibonacci retracements at $88,400 and $87,600 act as critical resistance/support, with price consolidation near key levels.

- Diverging volume during recent bounces raises doubts about sustainability, while daily RSI remains neutral amid extended downtrend.

Summary
• Bitcoin/Tether (BTCUSDT) tested key resistance clusters before reversing sharply lower, signaling bearish momentum.
• 24-hour volume surged, confirming the breakdown below critical moving averages and key Fibonacci levels.
• RSI and MACD indicate oversold conditions, but price remains in a strong downtrend with expanding volatility.
• Bollinger Bands widened post-break, with price trading near the lower band, hinting at potential short-term bounce.
• Notable bullish reversal patterns appear at key support levels, suggesting possible near-term retests.

Bitcoin/Tether (BTCUSDT) opened at $87,808.55 on 2025-12-28 at 12:00 ET, peaked at $90,169.06, and closed at $87,567.66 by 12:00 ET on 2025-12-29. Total 24-hour volume was 11,841.46 BTC, with a notional turnover of approximately $1,037,505,000.

Structure & Formations


Price broke below a key bullish wedge and 50-period EMA on the 5-minute chart, triggering a sharp bearish move. A bearish engulfing pattern emerged after reaching a 24-hour high near $90,000, followed by a deep pullback. The breakdown below the 20-period EMA and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the recent bullish swing suggests a continuation of bearish bias.

Moving Averages


The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 5-minute chart were decisively breached during the midday sell-off, reinforcing the bearish setup. Daily charts show the 50-period EMA at $88,300, above the 200-period EMA at $87,600, indicating a potential short-term oversold bounce.

MACD & RSI

The 5-minute MACD crossed bearishly with a bearish divergence forming, while RSI hit oversold territory at 29, suggesting a possible near-term bounce. However, the daily RSI remains neutral, and no overbought readings have been seen in the last 24 hours.

Bollinger Bands


Volatility expanded sharply after the midday high, with Bollinger Bands widening to reflect increased uncertainty. Price now trades near the lower band on the 5-minute chart, indicating potential for a short-term bounce, though bearish momentum remains intact.

Volume & Turnover


Volume spiked during the sharp sell-off from $90,000 to below $88,000, confirming the bearish move. Notional turnover also surged during this period, showing strong conviction in the downward trend. A divergence appears as volume waned during the recent bounce from $87,500, raising questions about its sustainability.

Fibonacci Retracements

The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the recent $87,600–$90,000 bullish move is now at $88,400, acting as a key resistance. On the 5-minute chart, the 38.2% level at $88,150 was rejected, and the breakdown below $87,600 signals a continuation of the bearish trend.

Bitcoin/Tether appears to be consolidating near a key Fibonacci support level, with indicators hinting at a potential short-term bounce. However, the broader trend remains bearish, with critical support at $87,500 under pressure. Investors should watch for a retest of this level before considering near-term bullish setups.