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Summary
• BTCMXN fell 0.5% over 24 hours, with bearish momentum visible in RSI and declining volume.
• Key support at 1,686,036 MXN held, but 1,693,356 MXN resistance remains a critical test.
• Volatility expanded during early trading, with Bollinger Bands widening, suggesting a potential breakout attempt.
Bitcoin/Mexican Peso (BTCMXN) opened at 1,708,466 MXN on 2026-01-15, hit a high of 1,717,986 MXN, and closed at 1,688,441 MXN on 2026-01-16. Total 24-hour volume was 1.67 BTC, with a notional turnover of 292,350,862 MXN.
Structure & Candlestick Formations
Price carved a bearish trend during the session, with a 1.1% drop in the 5-minute chart and a long bearish candle at the session low. A key bearish engulfing pattern formed near 1,707,880 MXN, confirming downward momentum. A doji near 1,689,097 MXN hinted at short-term indecision, though bearish pressure quickly reasserted.

Moving Averages and MACD
BTCMXN closed below its 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 5-minute chart, indicating short-term weakness. MACD turned negative, with the histogram shrinking as bearish momentum eased slightly in late trading.
RSI and Bollinger Bands
Relative Strength Index (RSI) dipped below 50, entering neutral to bearish territory, with no signs of overbought conditions. Bollinger Bands widened early in the session, reflecting increased volatility, while BTCMXN traded near the lower band for much of the day, indicating pressure to the downside.
Volume and Turnover
Volume remained moderate, peaking during the early bearish breakout and again during the 1,688,441 MXN consolidation. Turnover aligned with price direction, confirming bearish sentiment without any divergence, suggesting further downside may be possible.
Fibonacci Retracements
A 5-minute swing from 1,717,986 MXN to 1,681,601 MXN saw BTCMXN retest the 61.8% retracement level at 1,693,356 MXN before reversing lower. The 38.2% level at 1,702,216 MXN failed to hold early, reinforcing the bearish bias.
Price appears to be testing key psychological levels, with 1,686,036 MXN offering near-term support. A break below 1,681,601 MXN could trigger a larger correction, but a bounce back above 1,693,356 MXN may signal a potential reversal. Investors should remain cautious given the fragile balance between bearish control and short-term consolidation.
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