Summary
• Price swung between 1,523,000 and 1,610,000 MXN, closing near 1,584,527 after a volatile rebound.
• Momentum remained mixed, with RSI near neutral and MACD divergence signaling potential indecision.
• Volume surged at key support levels but waned at recent highs, suggesting temporary buying interest.
• A bullish engulfing pattern formed near 1,555,555 MXN, indicating short-term reversal potential.
• Volatility expanded with Bollinger Band widening, reflecting heightened short-term uncertainty.
At 12:00 ET on 2025-12-19, Bitcoin/Mexican Peso (BTCMXN) opened at 1,586,733 MXN and traded between 1,523,000 and 1,610,000 MXN before closing at 1,584,527 MXN. Total volume over the 24-hour period was 3.899941 BTC, with a notional turnover of approximately 610,127,568 MXN.
Structure and Key Levels
Price action displayed clear support around 1,555,555 MXN, where a large bullish engulfing candle formed, suggesting short-term buying pressure.
Resistance clustered near 1,585,000 MXN, with price failing to hold above it in multiple attempts. A 5-minute Fibonacci retracement from the swing low at 1,523,000 MXN showed 61.8% retracement near 1,584,500 MXN, which aligns with the final close.
Momentum and Volatility
The RSI remained in the 40–60 range, indicating neutral momentum without overbought or oversold conditions. MACD showed a bearish divergence near the high at 1,610,000 MXN, suggesting that the upward thrust may not be sustainable. Bollinger Bands expanded significantly during the early morning hours, indicating heightened volatility. Price closed near the lower band on the 5-minute chart, pointing to cautious sentiment.
Volume and Turnover Analysis
Volume surged during key support tests near 1,523,000 MXN and 1,555,555 MXN, confirming these levels as areas of interest. However, turnover waned as prices approached 1,600,000 MXN, indicating a lack of conviction. A notable divergence occurred between price and volume in the 15–16:00 ET timeframe, where prices rallied but volume declined, suggesting potential exhaustion.
Future Outlook
With price hovering near key 5-minute and daily Fibonacci levels, the next 24 hours could see a decisive move if volume picks up at 1,585,000 MXN. A break above this level may attract more buyers, but risks of a pullback remain if short-term momentum wanes. Investors should monitor for confirmation or rejection at this level, with a cautious eye on potential overextension.
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