Market Overview: Bitcoin/Hryvnia (BTCUAH) on 2025-12-26

Friday, Dec 26, 2025 1:55 am ET1min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- BTCUAH dropped sharply in early 24-hour session, forming a bearish engulfing pattern at 4,001,378 UAH with surging volume.

- Price rebounded near 3,978,583 UAH (50% Fibonacci level) as RSI hit oversold territory, hinting at short-term countertrend bounce.

- MACD turned negative early, aligning with downward trend while Bollinger Bands showed volatility contraction before rejection.

- Market consolidation near 3,964,032 UAH raises caution as thin volume and potential volatility spikes loom ahead.

Summary
• Price declined sharply in the early session, forming a bearish engulfing pattern at 4,001,378 UAH.
• Volume surged at the start of the 24-hour window, confirming bearish momentum before tapering off.
• Price bounced near 3,978,583 UAH, forming a potential 50% Fibonacci retracement level on the 5-minute chart.
• RSI hit oversold territory around 3,969,762 UAH, hinting at a potential short-term rebound.
• MACD turned negative early, aligning with the downward price trend and confirming bearish momentum.

The 24-hour session for Bitcoin/Hryvnia (BTCUAH) opened at 3,995,195 UAH on 2025-12-25 at 17:00 ET and closed at 3,964,032 UAH on 2025-12-26 at 00:00 ET, with a high of 4,004,306 UAH and a low of 3,946,897 UAH. Total volume traded was 0.02936 BTC, with a notional turnover of approximately 116,857,000 UAH.

The price action was characterized by a sharp bearish reversal in the first two hours of the session, with a significant bearish engulfing pattern forming between 4,001,378 UAH and 3,992,758 UAH. This was confirmed by a spike in volume. A subsequent test of support around 3,978,583 UAH saw minimal selling, suggesting some short-term capitulation.

On the 5-minute chart, key Fibonacci retracement levels were visible, with the 3,978,583 UAH level acting as a potential 50% retracement point for the early bearish move. The 20-period and 50-period moving averages trended downward, reinforcing the bearish bias. Bollinger Bands showed a tightening at the 50% level, indicating reduced volatility, followed by a price rejection to the upper band on the rebound.

The MACD turned negative early in the session and remained bearish, while RSI dipped into oversold territory near 3,969,762 UAH, suggesting potential for a countertrend bounce. Volume and turnover diverged slightly in the final hours, with increased turnover not translating into meaningful price action. A consolidation phase appears to be forming around 3,964,032 UAH.

Looking ahead, the market could test the 3,952,601 UAH support level, with a possible pullback toward 3,978,583 UAH if buyers re-enter. Traders should remain cautious of thin volume and potential volatility spikes in the next 24 hours.