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Summary
• Price opened at 135.9 and closed at 135.1 after trading between 134.2 and 138.6.
• Volatility surged as the pair traded 13.4% above the opening price and 1.3% below.
• Volume remained steady at ~6.051–17.178, with turnover showing moderate divergence in late hours.
• RSI peaked above 70 briefly, hinting at overbought conditions, but failed to sustain.
Opening at 135.9 and closing at 135.1 on 2025-11-11, Beefy/Tether (BIFIUSDT) saw a 24-hour high of 138.6 and a low of 134.2. Total volume across the 24-hour period stood at ~199.789, while turnover showed a mid-day peak aligned with the 138.5 high.
The price structure over 15-minute intervals showed a strong bullish bias in the early evening hours, forming a 134.0–138.6 range. A strong bearish engulfing pattern was observed around the 137.6–137.0 range, indicating a potential near-term reversal. A doji formed at 137.5–137.0, suggesting indecision following the sharp upswing. A key support level appears at ~135.0, where the pair found temporary floor action. Resistance levels are concentrated between 136.6 and 137.0, where the price frequently stalled or reversed.
Moving averages at 20 (136.1) and 50 (135.8) on the 15-minute chart showed the price hovering near the 20SMA but failed to close above it, hinting at bearish pressure. On the daily chart, the 50DMA (134.7) and 200DMA (133.2) both sit below current levels, suggesting a continuation of the bullish trend.
The MACD crossed into negative territory in the final hours, signaling weakening momentum. RSI climbed above 70 during the late afternoon, indicating a temporary overbought condition, but failed to stay above that level. Bollinger Bands widened in the late afternoon, indicating increasing volatility, with the price briefly testing the upper band before retreating. This suggests heightened interest and potential for short-term volatility.
Notable volume spikes occurred at the 137.6 and 138.5 levels, aligning with price peaks. A divergence between volume and price was observed after 00:30 ET as volume declined even as the price drifted lower. This could hint at weakening conviction. Notional turnover also dipped in the early morning hours despite continued price fluctuation, suggesting reduced participation.
Applying Fibonacci retracement to the 134.2–138.6 swing, the 61.8% level (~137.2) appears to be a key area of congestion and potential retesting. On the daily chart, the 50% retracement level (~135.9) coincided with the opening price, suggesting a potential pivot point.
The backtest hypothesis is rooted in the observed overbought RSI readings and key support/resistance levels identified in the 24-hour period. One viable strategy involves using RSI > 70 as a sell-entry signal and closing positions either at a fixed 5-day hold or when RSI returns to below 30. Given the price's tendency to reverse at the 137.0–137.6 resistance zone, a fixed stop-loss at 135.0 could mitigate risk. This approach aligns with the detected momentum shifts and could provide a robust framework for evaluating the pair's response to overbought conditions.
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