Summary
• Price rose from 130.8 to 137.9 before consolidating near 134.5.
• Strong volume spikes observed during key rally hours, confirming bullish
.
• RSI reached overbought territory, suggesting potential near-term pullback.
• Bollinger Bands show recent volatility expansion, indicating active price action.
• A bullish engulfing pattern formed early in the session, followed by a higher high.
The BIFIUSDT pair opened at 130.8 at 12:00 ET-1 and surged to a high of 137.9 before consolidating at 134.5 by 12:00 ET. Over the 24-hour period, it traded between 130.5 and 137.9 with a total volume of 687.94 and a turnover of 93,962.50. Price exhibited a strong rally supported by volume and confirmed by candlestick formations.
Structure & Formations
Price action on the 15-minute chart revealed a bullish engulfing pattern early in the session, forming on the candle from 17:00 to 17:15 ET-1, which signaled a reversal from bearish to bullish sentiment. A key support level appears to be around the 133.0–133.6 range, while resistance is forming at 137.0–137.9. A doji formed at 04:45 ET, indicating indecision and potential reversal signs.
Moving Averages
On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages are both bullish, with price remaining above both. The 50-period MA moved from 132.3 to 134.2 over the 24-hour period, confirming the uptrend. On the daily chart, the 50, 100, and 200-period MAs are all in an ascending alignment, reinforcing the positive bias.
MACD & RSI
The MACD showed positive divergence with price, indicating that momentum is trailing the price action slightly. RSI surged into overbought territory (above 70) in the late hours of the session, suggesting a possible pullback or consolidation. However, as long as RSI remains above 50 and MACD stays above its signal line, the bullish case remains intact.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility expanded significantly as the pair moved from 130.5 to 137.9. Price closed near the upper band at 137.9 on the candle from 03:15 to 03:30 ET-1, showing strong momentum. However, the recent consolidation around the 134.0–135.5 range indicates a potential narrowing of the bands in the near term, signaling lower volatility ahead.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked during key rally hours between 18:00 and 19:30 ET-1, aligning with price action and confirming bullish sentiment. A notable volume divergence occurred at 04:45 ET when the price formed a doji but volume was relatively low, suggesting potential bearish implications. Turnover mirrored the volume pattern, with the highest turnover occurring during the 18:15–18:30 ET-1 candle, reaching $75,000 in notional value.
Fibonacci Retracements
Applying Fibonacci retracements to the recent 15-minute swing from 130.5 to 137.9, the 61.8% level is at 134.7, which has been tested during consolidation and holds as a potential support zone. On the daily chart, retracement levels from the previous 24-hour range show key levels at 134.4 (38.2%) and 133.2 (50%), which could see renewed interest if the trend corrects.
Backtest Hypothesis
The backtesting strategy described uses close prices and a 3-day holding horizon, aligning well with the observed consolidation and potential pullback on the BIFIUSDT pair. With the RSI in overbought territory and Fibonacci retracement levels forming near current price, this approach may have captured short-term gains during the 18:15–18:30 ET-1 rally. By enforcing a 3-day hold without stop-loss or take-profit rules, the strategy allows for both trend continuation and countertrend opportunities.
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