• BANDUSDT rose 6.3% in 24 hours, closing at 0.711 with a bullish morning breakout.
• RSI climbed into overbought territory, suggesting short-term consolidation may follow.
• Volatility expanded after 05:00 ET, with volume surging 300% in the final 6 hours.
• A bullish engulfing pattern formed after 05:15 ET, confirming a shift in market sentiment.
• Price broke above the 0.702–0.703 resistance cluster, with 0.713 acting as the next key level.
Band/Tether (BANDUSDT) opened at 0.696 on 2025-09-15 at 12:00 ET, peaked at 0.719, and closed at 0.711 at 12:00 ET on 2025-09-16. The total 24-hour volume was 574,307.3 units, with a notional turnover of 405,158.0 USD. The pair showed a bullish reversal after extended consolidation, with a sharp move post 05:00 ET.
Structure & Formations
The 15-minute chart displayed a key bullish engulfing pattern at 05:15 ET (0.702–0.707), signaling a shift in momentum. A 0.699–0.701 consolidation range was broken decisively by 08:15 ET with a 6.3% rally. Key support levels include 0.704 and 0.700, while 0.713 appears as the next major resistance. A doji at 11:45 ET may indicate short-term profit-taking ahead of further upside.
Moving Averages
On the 15-minute timeframe, the price closed above both the 20-period (0.706) and 50-period (0.703) SMAs, confirming bullish momentum. On the daily chart, the 50 SMA is at 0.698 and the 200 SMA at 0.689, suggesting the move is still within an ascending trend channel. A pullback to the 50 SMA could trigger a continuation.
MACD & RSI
The MACD turned positive after 05:15 ET, with a bullish crossover above the signal line, confirming the breakout. The RSI reached 68 by 11:00 ET, entering overbought territory, which may indicate a potential short-term correction before further gains. Momentum appears strong but could moderate in the near term.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility expanded after 05:00 ET, with the bands widening significantly. Price has since moved above the upper band on multiple occasions, signaling a breakout. The middle band is currently at 0.705, and if the upward trend continues, the upper band could extend to 0.723–0.725 in the next 24 hours.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked to 83,009.0 units after 08:15 ET, aligning with the breakout move. Notional turnover also surged by 300% in the final 6 hours, confirming strong buying pressure. There was no divergence between price and volume, suggesting the rally remains healthy. However, a drop in volume during consolidation could signal weakening momentum.
Fibonacci Retracements
The recent 15-minute swing from 0.694 to 0.719 has key Fibonacci levels at 0.709 (38.2%), 0.706 (50%), and 0.703 (61.8%). Price is currently at 0.711, above the 38.2% retracement, suggesting further upside is likely if the trend holds. The 61.8% level appears to be a short-term support zone.
Backtest Hypothesis
The backtest strategy outlined earlier could be applied to the BANDUSDT pattern observed. A long entry at the close of the bullish engulfing pattern (05:15 ET, 0.707) with a stop loss below 0.700 could have captured the 0.719 high by 08:15 ET. The strategy’s use of volume confirmation aligns with the 83,009.0 spike after 08:15 ET, validating the breakout. A trailing stop at 0.706 would have secured 1.2% gains. This supports the hypothesis that volume and candlestick confirmation can effectively filter strong breakout opportunities.
Comments
No comments yet