Summary
• Price consolidates near key support at 0.4045-0.4052 amid bearish 5-min fractals.
• Volume spikes coincide with price declines, reinforcing bearish momentum.
• RSI approaches oversold territory while MACD signals weakening bullish energy.
• Volatility expanded during early ET hours before narrowing as price drifted lower.
• Fibonacci retracement levels at 0.4066 and 0.4075 show retest resistance.
At 12:00 ET on 2025-12-21, Bancor/Tether (BNTUSDT) opened at 0.4080, hit a high of 0.4086, dropped to a low of 0.3982, and closed at 0.4031. Total volume for the 24-hour period reached approximately 159,107.9 units, with a notional turnover of $64,842.85.
Structure & Formations
Price action on the 5-minute chart suggests a bearish exhaustion with key support zones at 0.4045 and 0.4052 showing repeated consolidation. A large bearish engulfing pattern formed at 0.4084, followed by a series of lower lows and rejections at 0.4073-0.4075. A potential double-bottom structure appears to be forming near 0.4045, which may offer a short-term floor.
Moving Averages
Short-term averages on the 5-minute chart (20/50) have trended lower, with the price closing below both. The 50-period line currently sits at 0.4059, aligning with recent resistance. On the daily chart, price remains below the 50/100/200 MA cluster, reinforcing the bearish bias for the broader timeframe.
Momentum Indicators
MACD has turned bearish, with a bearish crossover forming between the signal and MACD lines. The RSI has approached the 30 level on the
minute chart, indicating potential oversold conditions, though a bounce from this level is not guaranteed. Divergence between price and RSI is observed in the late ET hours, suggesting caution for near-term buyers.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands expanded significantly during the drop to 0.3982, indicating heightened volatility. Price has since consolidated into a tighter range within the bands, hovering near the lower band. A break above the 0.4059 upper band would signal a temporary relief rally, while a retest of the 0.4045 support remains key.
Volume and Turnover
Volume has amplified during price declines, especially in the late ET hours, confirming bearish sentiment. A notable divergence appears between the final upward move to 0.4075 and declining volume, suggesting a lack of conviction. Turnover spiked during the 0.3982 low but has since normalized, reflecting reduced trading interest in the consolidation phase.
Fibonacci Retracements
Key Fibonacci retracement levels from the 0.4086 high to the 0.3982 low show 0.4066 at 23.6%, 0.4052 at 38.2%, and 0.4045 at 50%—all of which have acted as meaningful retests. The 61.8% level at 0.4035 may offer a near-term target for further consolidation or a potential bounce zone.
Price may find support near 0.4045 but risks breaking it if bearish momentum accelerates. Investors should remain cautious of potential short-term volatility, particularly if macroeconomic news influences broader crypto sentiment in the next 24 hours.
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