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Summary
• Price declined from a 24-hour high of $1.64e-06 to a close of $1.51e-06 with bearish momentum.
• Volume surged during early bearish moves but faded later, suggesting exhaustion or consolidation.
• RSI and MACD show bearish bias, with RSI approaching oversold levels near 30.
• Key support seen near $1.50e-06 and resistance at $1.58e-06 on the 5-minute chart.
• Bollinger Bands indicate moderate volatility with price hovering near lower band during late hours.
Axelar/Bitcoin (AXLBTC) opened at $1.55e-06 on 2025-12-12 at 12:00 ET and closed at $1.51e-06 on 2025-12-13 at 12:00 ET, with a high of $1.64e-06 and low of $1.48e-06. Total volume for the 24-hour window was 99,041.04 and turnover amounted to approximately 72.2 BTC equivalents.
Structure & Formations
AXLBTC formed a bearish trend with several significant resistance levels identified, particularly at $1.58e-06 and $1.64e-06. A key support level appears at $1.50e-06, where price found temporary stability before the morning hours. Notable bearish engulfing patterns occurred during the early decline, particularly between 23:00 and 02:00 ET.
Moving Averages
On the 5-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages both remained above the current price, reinforcing bearish bias. On the daily chart, the 50-period MA crossed below the 200-period MA, indicating a broader bearish setup.
MACD & RSI
The MACD showed a negative crossover, with bearish divergence in the histogram. The RSI has moved toward oversold territory, currently near 30, suggesting potential for a short-term rebound. However, the lack of bullish momentum implies further bearish probing is likely.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility expanded significantly during the early bearish wave, with price breaking the lower band at $1.50e-06. Price has since consolidated near the lower band, indicating a possible continuation of the downward move if support fails.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked sharply during the early decline (23:00–02:00 ET), aligning with price action. However, turnover and volume have since diminished, suggesting a period of consolidation or uncertainty. Divergence between volume and price during the later hours implies caution for any short-term bullish bounce.
Fibonacci Retracements
On the 5-minute chart, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $1.57e-06 acted as a resistance during the early morning hours. On the daily scale, the 38.2% retracement of the recent high was tested and failed to hold, reinforcing bearish control.
Price may test the key support at $1.50e-06 over the next 24 hours, with a potential short-term rebound possible if RSI rebounds from oversold territory. However, given the weak volume and bearish structure, any bounce could be short-lived. Investors should monitor for a breakdown below $1.50e-06, which could signal a deeper correction.
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