Summary
•
traded in a descending channel, finding support around 0.944-0.950 and resistance near 0.960-0.965.
• A bearish momentum shift emerged after 0.960 failed to hold, with RSI signaling oversold conditions below 30.
• Volatility expanded in the overnight session, with a sharp drop from 0.963 to 0.940 and a spike in volume.
• Bollinger Bands widened significantly during the drop, suggesting increased uncertainty and potential for consolidation.
• Fibonacci levels at 0.947 and 0.952 appear key for near-term support and potential bounce scenarios.
At 12:00 ET on January 8, 2026, ATMUSDT opened at 0.960, reached a high of 0.963, and fell to a low of 0.936 before closing at 0.947. Total volume was 247,307.72, and turnover amounted to 235,017.73 USD. The 24-hour period saw a volatile decline and sharp consolidation.
Structure & Formations
Price action revealed multiple bearish engulfing patterns from 0.956–0.953 and a long lower shadow near 0.940, suggesting a potential short-term floor. A descending channel formed from the 0.963 high, with support at 0.944-0.952 and resistance at 0.960-0.963.
Moving Averages
On the 5-minute chart, price closed below the 20 and 50-period moving averages, reinforcing a bearish bias. Daily indicators suggest a larger downtrend remains intact, with the 200-period SMA acting as a critical long-term floor.
Momentum & Volatility
RSI dipped into oversold territory below 30, signaling possible near-term bounce potential, though MACD remained bearish with a weak histogram. Volatility expanded during the drop from 0.963 to 0.940, with Bollinger Bands widening significantly, suggesting increased uncertainty and potential consolidation.
Volume and Turnover
Volume spiked during the sharp decline from 0.963 to 0.940, with the largest 5-minute bar at 28,215.7 units. Turnover spiked alongside the drop, confirming bearish conviction. No divergence was observed between price and volume during the 24-hour window.
Fibonacci Retracements
Key Fibonacci levels at 0.947 (38.2%) and 0.952 (61.8%) are likely to play a role in near-term price direction. A break below 0.944 could expose deeper support at 0.936, previously tested during the overnight dip.
Price appears to be settling near 0.947, with a potential test of the 0.944 level ahead. Investors should monitor for a rebound off the 0.947–0.952 range or a break to the downside, which could extend the correction. As always, volatile conditions may bring rapid reversals, so position sizing and risk management remain essential.
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