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Summary
• Price surged to $1.168 before consolidating near $1.14–$1.15.
• Strong volume and turnover signaled conviction in the rally.
• RSI suggested overbought conditions during the peak.

Aster/Tether (ASTERUSDT) opened at $1.084 on 2025-11-07 at 12:00 ET and reached a high of $1.168 before closing at $1.141 on 2025-11-08 at 12:00 ET. The pair traded between $1.046 and $1.168, with a total volume of 108,126,213.63 and turnover of $118,773,192.28 over the 24-hour period.
The candlestick pattern revealed a strong upward thrust, with a 15-minute Bearish Engulfing pattern forming near the $1.16 level, followed by a consolidation phase. The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart were both bullish, while the daily 50- and 200-period moving averages crossed in a potential golden cross formation, supporting a bullish bias.
, as captured by the RSI, suggested overbought conditions during the peak at $1.168, indicating possible near-term resistance. The MACD showed a positive divergence in the morning, confirming the strength of the rally.Bollinger Bands reflected increased volatility during the late afternoon surge, with price reaching the upper band before retracting slightly. Fibonacci levels at 1.15 (61.8%) and 1.132 (38.2%) acted as critical support/resistance levels during the consolidation phase. Volume analysis showed strong accumulation in the $1.15–$1.16 range, confirming the strength of the breakout. However, a slight divergence emerged between volume and price during the pullback phase in the early morning, suggesting potential caution for short-term traders.
The market appears to be consolidating after the strong rally, with a likely next move toward key support at $1.13 and resistance at $1.16–$1.17. Traders may watch for a potential break above $1.168 as a strong signal for further upside. As always, sudden shifts in sentiment or broader market conditions could introduce risk.
Backtest Hypothesis
The 15-minute Bearish Engulfing candle at the $1.168 high could serve as a sell signal. If executed using end-of-day data, a short entry could be triggered at the next day’s open with a target at the 1.15 Fibonacci level or stop-loss at the upper Bollinger Band. However, due to the constraints of daily data and the lack of intraday precision in the backtest, the signal may be less reliable in real-time. A more robust approach might involve combining the 15-minute pattern with daily-moving average crossovers to filter entries and reduce false signals.
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