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Summary
• Price dropped from 0.3439 to 0.3262 over 24 hours amid strong bearish
FETUSDT, the trading pair for Artificial Superintelligence Alliance/Tether, opened at 0.3439 on 2025-11-07 at 12:00 ET and closed at 0.3262 on 2025-11-08 at 12:00 ET. During the 24-hour period, the price reached a high of 0.4602 and fell to a low of 0.3216. The total volume traded was approximately 533,221,909.0, and notional turnover was estimated at $175,688,000.
The candlestick pattern suggests a bearish bias, particularly in the late 15-minute candles where a sharp decline and a long lower wick formed. A notable bearish engulfing pattern occurred near 0.3350, indicating that sellers have taken control after a brief counter-trend rally. Additionally, a doji formed around 0.3687, signaling indecision and a potential reversal point in a bullish context. A key support level appears to have formed near 0.3216, while resistance is expected around 0.3559. Traders should monitor these levels for confirmation of a potential reversal or breakdown.
The 15-minute moving averages show a bearish crossover, with the 20-period MA below the 50-period MA. On the daily timeframe, the 50/100/200 EMA setup also shows a bearish alignment, reinforcing the current downtrend. The RSI has dipped into oversold territory below 30, suggesting a potential bounce, but without a strong reversal candle or volume confirmation, this remains speculative. The MACD histogram has contracted, indicating weakening bearish momentum, but the crossover remains below the signal line, which could delay a full reversal.
Bollinger Bands show a widening channel, consistent with the increased volatility seen in the last 24 hours. The price closed near the lower band, which may offer temporary support. However, the absence of a strong bullish candle closing above the 0.3323–0.3353 range suggests that the bearish trend remains intact. A 38.2% Fibonacci retracement from the swing high at 0.4602 to the low at 0.3216 is currently at 0.3735, while the 61.8% retracement level is at 0.3382. These levels could serve as psychological barriers in the near term.

Backtest Hypothesis
A potential backtesting strategy for this asset would involve using the MACD and RSI to identify overbought and oversold conditions. Given that FETUSDT currently resides in oversold territory, a long entry strategy could be triggered when RSI crosses above 30, accompanied by a bullish crossover in the MACD. A stop-loss would be placed below the most recent swing low (0.3216), and a take-profit target could be set at the 38.2% or 61.8% Fibonacci levels, depending on volatility and risk appetite. This strategy would be most effective in a volatile, mean-reverting market and less so in a strongly trending one, where oversold conditions may persist without a reversal.
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