Market Overview: ARPA (2025-08-25)

• ARPAUSDT broke above key resistance at 0.0229 with strong volume after 19:45 ET.
• A bullish engulfing pattern formed at 0.0224–0.0234 as price reversed sharply from a deep sell-off.
• Volatility surged and contracted multiple times, with Bollinger Bands expanding after 20:00 ET.
• RSI hit oversold levels below 30 before bouncing, suggesting a potential short-term reversal.
• Total turnover spiked during the early ET hours, coinciding with a 4.7% price recovery.

Price and Volume Summary

ARPA opened at 0.02276 on 2025-08-24 at 12:00 ET and closed at 0.02180 on 2025-08-25 at 12:00 ET, reaching a high of 0.0234 and a low of 0.02166. The 24-hour volume totaled approximately 113,637,609.6 and turnover amounted to around $2,528,661.28.

Structure & Formations

Price formed a strong bullish engulfing pattern during the early ET hours following a sharp decline, as seen between 20:00 ET and 21:45 ET. A key resistance level at 0.0229 was decisively broken after a volatile 15-minute candle on 19:45 ET. The subsequent pullback tested this level again without breaking below, forming a potential support zone. A notable doji appeared at 0.02295 on 19:45 ET, signaling indecision.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages both crossed above key swing levels (0.0229–0.0230), indicating short-term bullish momentum. Daily moving averages (50/100/200) remain below current price action, suggesting ARPA is trading above key medium-term support.

MACD & RSI

MACD crossed to the positive side after 19:30 ET, confirming bullish momentum. The RSI bottomed at 29.8 (oversold) during the 20:00–20:15 ET period and then rebounded strongly, aligning with the price bounce. This suggests ARPA may continue to consolidate near 0.0228–0.0229 in the near term.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility spiked sharply during the 19:45–20:00 ET window, expanding the Bollinger Bands as ARPA broke above 0.0234. Price then retracted significantly into the lower band, reaching 0.02186. This suggests increased volatility but not necessarily a breakout, as the bands are still contracting slightly.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked dramatically during the 19:45–20:00 ET period, coinciding with a breakout and a large 15-minute candle. Notional turnover confirmed this move, with a 15-minute spike of $1,136,377.61. Divergence between price and volume was observed during the late ET hours, as price continued to fall while volume remained low.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci to the key 0.0234–0.02166 move, the 38.2% level (~0.0224) was briefly tested during the 22:00–22:15 ET window. The 50% level (~0.02253) acted as a temporary support, and the 61.8% level (~0.02269) was tested twice during the 05:00–06:30 ET period, suggesting potential resistance ahead.

ARPA may continue to trade within a 0.0218–0.0229 range in the next 24 hours as traders digest the recent volatility. A break above 0.02295 could extend the upward move, but a drop below 0.0224 could trigger renewed selling. Investors should remain cautious of potential volatility and volume divergence during consolidation periods.