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Summary
• Price action showed a bearish trend with key support levels tested multiple times.
• RSI and MACD signaled bearish momentum, with RSI near oversold conditions.
• Volatility expanded significantly with a sharp drop in price, supported by high notional turnover.
• Bollinger Bands showed widening volatility, with price lingering near the lower band.
At 12:00 ET−1 on December 14, Ark/Tether (ARKUSDT) opened at 0.2775. It traded between 0.2784 and 0.2653, closing at 0.2686 by 12:00 ET on December 15. The 24-hour trading session saw a total volume of 317,627.0 and a notional turnover of 84,888.41.
Structure & Formations
Price tested key support levels around 0.2745 and 0.2700 multiple times, with bearish engulfing patterns forming near 0.274–0.276. A notable bearish reversal was seen after the 20:30 ET candle on the 5-minute chart. Resistance levels at 0.276–0.278 were repeatedly rejected, reinforcing the bearish bias.
Moving Averages and Momentum Indicators
Short-term moving averages (20/50) remained above the price, confirming a bearish divergence. The MACD crossed below the signal line and continued to trend downward, reinforcing the bearish momentum. RSI fell into oversold territory near 25–30, suggesting potential for a short-term bounce but not a reversal.
Volatility and Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands showed a clear widening trend as volatility increased, particularly after the 15:00 ET candle. Price lingered near or below the lower band for most of the session, indicating a high degree of bearish pressure.
Volume and Turnover
Notional turnover surged during the 15:15–15:30 ET window, as price fell from 0.2708 to 0.2661. Volume was heavily concentrated during the 15:00–15:30 ET range, with the largest single candle (15:15 ET) recording 88,960.0 volume and 24,306.75 turnover. No significant price-volume divergence was observed.
Fibonacci Retracements
The 61.8% Fibonacci level (0.2732) acted as a temporary support during the initial decline but was decisively broken. The recent move from 0.2784 to 0.2653 hit the 38.2% retracement level at 0.2719 and bounced briefly, but failed to hold.
Looking ahead, ARKUSDT may consolidate near current levels or test the next support at 0.2650. However, traders should remain cautious of potential short-term rebounds from the oversold RSI, which may attract tactical buyers.
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