Market Overview for Ardor/Tether (ARDRUSDT) – September 17, 2025

• Price rallied from 0.0853 to 0.0873, forming a bullish continuation pattern with key resistance at 0.0865–0.0873.
• Volume surged in the 21:00–22:45 ET window, confirming the 2.4% upward move on strong volume.
• RSI peaked at 58, signaling moderate momentum, while MACD showed a positive crossover suggesting potential follow-through.
• Volatility expanded as price traded within a 1.13% range, staying above lower Bollinger Band most of the session.
• Fibonacci retracement levels at 0.0864 and 0.0872 acted as strong support and resistance, with price consolidating at 0.0856–0.0860 afterward.

The Ardor/Tether (ARDRUSDT) pair opened at 0.0853 at 12:00 ET − 1 and surged to a high of 0.0873 during the 24-hour window. The price settled at 0.0857 by 12:00 ET, with total volume of 1,010,628 and notional turnover of approximately $86,452. The session featured a strong bullish thrust from 0.0853–0.0873 followed by a pullback into consolidation.

Structure & Formations

A notable bullish reversal pattern emerged in the 21:00–22:45 ET window as price formed a small-bodied candle at 0.08715, followed by a confirmation candle that pushed the high to 0.0873. The structure resembles a modified bullish engulfing pattern, with the prior bearish candle at 0.08679–0.08704 being fully consumed. A key support zone formed between 0.0864 and 0.0856, where price tested multiple times during the pullback phase. The consolidation suggests traders are waiting for a breakout from this range.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, price spent much of the session above the 50-period moving average, which hovered between 0.0859 and 0.0862. The 20-period MA, more responsive to recent price action, acted as a dynamic support line during the consolidation phase. On the daily chart, the 50-period MA sits at 0.0856, aligning with the current consolidation range, suggesting the pair could be preparing for a breakout either upwards or downwards depending on the next catalyst.

MACD & RSI

The MACD line crossed above the signal line during the bullish thrust, confirming a potential shift in momentum. RSI moved into the 50–60 range during the rally, indicating moderate strength without entering overbought territory. However, during the consolidation phase, RSI dipped into the 40–45 range, suggesting a temporary loss of bullish momentum. Traders may watch for RSI to re-enter the 60–70 range as a sign of renewed strength.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility expanded during the bullish phase, with price pushing near the upper band, reaching as high as 0.0873. The Bollinger Band width increased by ~15%, indicating a period of heightened trading interest. During the pullback phase, price moved closer to the lower band, consolidating between 0.0856 and 0.0860. The current range-bound behavior suggests a consolidation phase is underway, with potential for a breakout expected should volume and momentum reaccelerate.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked during the 21:00–22:45 ET window, with the most active 15-minute candle recording a volume of 23,823, representing a 3.1% increase over the prior period. Notional turnover also rose during this phase, confirming price action. A divergence between price and turnover occurred during the pullback, where price dropped but turnover remained steady, suggesting a lack of conviction from short-side participants. The recent volume profile supports a potential retest of the 0.0873 level as a key resistance.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci to the key 0.0853–0.0873 rally, the 61.8% level at 0.0864 acted as a strong support, with price bouncing off this level multiple times. The 38.2% retracement at 0.0867 was also tested, though briefly, during the pullback phase. The 50% level at 0.0863 appears to be a potential pivot point for the next 24 hours. Traders may watch for a break above 0.0868 to confirm a continuation of the bullish trend.

Backtest Hypothesis

Given the current consolidation and the recent bullish structure, a potential backtest could involve a long entry on a break above 0.0868 with a stop just below 0.0864. The target would be aligned with the 0.0872–0.0873 resistance cluster, with a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1.4:1. This setup aligns with the MACD crossover, RSI momentum, and Fibonacci retracement signals, offering a statistically favorable entry opportunity for trend-following strategies during volatile breakout phases.