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Summary
• Price drifted sideways with key support near 0.0615 and resistance at 0.0628.
• A bearish divergence in RSI suggests weakening bullish
Ardor/Tether (ARDRUSDT) opened at 0.06187 on 2025-11-09 12:00 ET, hit a high of 0.06327, a low of 0.06085, and closed at 0.0618 at 2025-11-10 12:00 ET. Total volume for the 24-hour period was 11,960,200.0, with total turnover at approximately USD 746,000 (using average price). The pair appears to be consolidating within a range of 0.0615–0.0630, with multiple attempts to break higher failing due to bearish pressure.
Key support levels are forming at 0.0615 and 0.0612, with a bearish engulfing pattern observed near 0.06184 as resistance failed. RSI has been oscillating between 30 and 60, suggesting a lack of strong conviction in either direction. However, a bearish divergence in RSI during the final hours of the period may indicate a potential reversal. The 20-period and 50-period SMAs are crossing lower, reinforcing the possibility of a near-term pullback.
Bollinger Bands have compressed as the price has approached the 0.0618 level, signaling a potential breakout in either direction. Volatility has contracted, with volume declining in the final hour despite a sharp price drop. This divergence raises questions about the strength of the recent bearish move. Turning to Fibonacci retracements, the 0.0623–0.0626 range represents a critical area of prior resistance; a close above 0.0626 could open the door for a test of 0.0630.
The market appears poised for a breakout or a retest of recent support. A close above 0.0626 may attract buyers, but the broader bearish trend remains intact. Investors should closely monitor volume during the next 24 hours for confirmation of either direction and remain cautious in the face of a weakening RSI.

The backtesting strategy tested an RSI-based long-entry approach on ARDRUSDT from 2022-01-01 to 2025-11-10. Over this period, it delivered a –72% total return with a –17% annualized return and a 74% max drawdown. The negative Sharpe ratio of –0.48 highlights underperformance versus cash. On average, each trade lost ~3.1%, with losing trades significantly outnumbering winners. This suggests that buying into overbought RSI conditions has historically been unprofitable for this pair.
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