Market Overview: Ardor/Tether (ARDRUSDT) on 2025-09-18

• Ardor/Tether (ARDRUSDT) traded in a bullish bias today, with a 24-hour high of 0.08928 and close near its high of 0.08890.
• Strong momentum was observed in the afternoon, with a 1.4% gain from intraday lows.
• Volatility expanded during key breakout hours, with price moving above a key resistance at 0.0885.
• Volume spiked during the 19:00–21:00 ET session, confirming upward conviction.
• RSI reached 65, suggesting moderate strength, with no signs of overbought conditions yet.

Ardor/Tether (ARDRUSDT) opened at 0.08527 on 2025-09-17 and closed at 0.08890 by 12:00 ET on 2025-09-18, recording a 24-hour high of 0.08928 and a low of 0.08470. Total volume was 1,758,638 and notional turnover amounted to $156,030. Price action showed a strong upward bias, especially after the 19:00 ET session, with multiple bullish engulfing patterns and a decisive break above the 0.0885 psychological level.

The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart were in bullish alignment by the early morning hours, with the 20-period MA crossing above the 50-period MA on 15-minute data around 00:30 ET. The 50-period MA on the daily chart remains above the 100- and 200-period MAs, suggesting a broader uptrend. Price has remained above the 50-period MA for the majority of the 24-hour period.

MACD (12, 26, 9) was positive throughout the session, with a clear histogram divergence emerging after 04:00 ET, indicating sustained bullish momentum. RSI was in the mid-60s by the close, showing strength without overbought conditions. Volatility, as indicated by Bollinger Bands, widened from 19:00 to 21:00 ET, with price trading above the upper band during the 22:00–00:00 ET window. This volatility expansion coincided with a sharp move to 0.08928.

Volume and turnover saw a clear spike during the 19:00–21:00 ET hours, with the 19:15 ET candle (0.08596 close) showing 76,422 volume and the 20:30 ET candle (0.08775 close) showing 179,222 volume. Price and volume were aligned, with both confirming the bullish breakout. Notional turnover (price × volume) also increased during the late afternoon, suggesting a strong institutional or large-cap involvement in the move.

Fibonacci retracement levels from the 0.0847–0.08928 swing showed key levels at 0.08656 (38.2%) and 0.08824 (61.8%). Price held above the 38.2% level and tested the 61.8% level before consolidating around 0.08890, suggesting that the move may have more room to extend. On the daily chart, the 2025-09-17 high at 0.08928 could serve as a near-term ceiling if the trend continues.

Looking ahead, the near-term outlook for Ardor/Tether remains bullish, provided price holds above 0.0885 and continues to align with the 20- and 50-period moving averages. A break above 0.08928 could target 0.0900 as the next psychological level. However, investors should remain cautious if the RSI closes above 70 or if volume shows signs of divergence, which could signal a near-term exhaustion of upward momentum.

Backtest Hypothesis
Given the strong alignment of price above key moving averages and the confirmation from volume and MACD, a potential backtest strategy could involve entering long positions during bullish engulfing patterns or on a break above the 61.8% Fibonacci level of the 0.0847–0.08928 swing. A stop-loss could be placed below the 0.0885 level, with a target of 0.0895–0.0900. This approach would rely on trend continuation and strong momentum confirmation, making it well-suited for a strategy using the 15-minute timeframe with trailing stops and tight risk management.