• Ankr/Tether (ANKRUSDT) declined 24-hour low of $0.01496 after forming a bearish breakdown below prior support.
• Price action shows oversold RSI conditions, but volume is weak, suggesting possible bearish continuation.
• A key support level appears to be forming near $0.01505–$0.01508, with Fibonacci 61.8% aligning with that range.
•
Bands are contracting late in the session, signaling potential volatility expansion ahead.
• MACD shows bearish divergence, reinforcing the likelihood of further downward movement in the near term.
Ankr/Tether (ANKRUSDT) opened at $0.01574 on 2025-09-18 12:00 ET and traded as high as $0.01583 before declining to a 24-hour low of $0.01496 on 2025-09-19 15:15 ET. The pair closed at $0.01506 at 2025-09-19 16:00 ET. Total volume was 90.8 million
, with notional turnover of $13.8 million. The price action reflects a bearish breakout below key support levels.
Structure & Formations
Price broke below the $0.0151–$0.01508 support zone, confirming bearish bias. A bearish engulfing pattern emerged around 2025-09-19 04:15 ET as price closed at a new 24-hour low, and a doji near $0.01521 signals indecision. The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the previous bullish swing aligns with current support at $0.01505–$0.01508, a key level to watch for a possible bounce or breakdown.
Moving Averages
On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages are bearish, with price below both. The 200-period daily MA is also below the 100-period, suggesting a longer-term bearish trend. Price remains below all three moving averages, reinforcing the downtrend.
MACD & RSI
The MACD is bearish with a negative histogram, confirming downward momentum. RSI is in oversold territory around 28, but this may reflect weak buying pressure rather than a reversal signal. A failure to rebound from this level could suggest continuation of the downtrend.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands have been relatively wide for much of the session, showing elevated volatility. However, a late-session contraction between 2025-09-19 15:00 ET and 16:00 ET suggests a potential reversal or breakout could be imminent. Price has closed near the lower band, suggesting a high risk of further downside in the near term.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked during the breakdown to $0.01496, confirming the bearish move. However, turnover has not matched the volume increase, indicating weaker conviction in the move. A divergence between volume and price may suggest a possible exhaustion in the bearish trend, although confirmation of a reversal remains pending.
Fibonacci Retracements
Key Fibonacci levels at 38.2% ($0.01529), 50% ($0.01537), and 61.8% ($0.01505) have played a role in the recent bearish move. The 61.8% level is now acting as support, and a break below $0.01505 could trigger further losses toward $0.01496–$0.01498, with possible extension to $0.01485.
Backtest Hypothesis
The backtest strategy involves entering short positions when price breaks below the 61.8% Fibonacci level and MACD turns negative, with a stop-loss placed just above the 50% retracement. Given the current price action and technical indicators, this scenario appears to have already played out. However, the oversold RSI may create a short-term bounce, which traders should be cautious of before committing to further shorting. Position sizing and risk management are critical to avoid false breakouts and whipsaw conditions.
Comments
No comments yet