Market Overview for Anchored Coins AEUR/Tether (AEURUSDT) – 2025-09-21

• Anchored Coins AEUR/Tether (AEURUSDT) opened at 1.0968 and closed slightly higher at 1.098 over the 24-hour period.
• The pair tested key resistance near 1.118 before retreating, with support emerging around 1.094–1.095.
• Volatility increased mid-day but has since stabilized, with volume declining in the final 8 hours.
• RSI and MACD suggest neutral momentum, with no strong overbought or oversold signals.
• A potential bearish engulfing pattern formed at the 1.108–1.0977 level, hinting at short-term caution.

Anchored Coins AEUR/Tether (AEURUSDT) opened at 1.0968 on 2025-09-20 at 16:00 ET and closed at 1.098 on 2025-09-21 at 12:00 ET. The 24-hour high was 1.118, low was 1.081, with a total volume of 389,744.0 and a turnover of approximately $427,160. The pair experienced moderate price swings, with increasing volatility early in the session before consolidating toward the closing hours.

Structure & Formations

The 15-minute chart shows a clear test of resistance at 1.118 and a support level at 1.094–1.095, which held during most of the session. A bearish engulfing pattern was formed at 1.108–1.0977, suggesting potential bearish continuation. A doji appeared at 1.0943–1.0943, indicating indecision around that level. Price action suggests a potential short-term reversal if 1.094 fails as support.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages show the price oscillating around the 50SMA, indicating a mixed trend. On the daily chart, the 50DMA and 200DMA are close together, suggesting a possible trend consolidation or breakout in the near future. A cross above the 200DMA could indicate a bullish continuation, but confirmation is pending.

MACD & RSI

The MACD histogram shows a mixed signal, with the line fluctuating around the signal line, indicating no strong directional bias. The RSI has hovered around the 50–60 range for most of the day, reflecting neutral momentum. No overbought or oversold readings were observed, though a dip toward 45 suggests mild bearish pressure in the latter part of the session.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility increased in the early part of the session, pushing prices to the upper band at 1.118 before retracting. By the end of the session, prices consolidated within the lower half of the bands, suggesting a contraction in volatility. The narrowing of the bands may hint at a potential breakout, but current levels remain within expected range.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked to 146,623.2 and 120,036.5 in the first two 15-minute intervals, coinciding with the initial upward thrust toward 1.108. However, after 19:00 ET, volume gradually declined, with minimal turnover observed in the final 8 hours. A divergence between price and volume in the last part of the session raises questions about the strength of the current move.

Fibonacci Retracements

Key retracement levels based on the 1.0968–1.118 swing include 38.2% at 1.1102 and 61.8% at 1.1036. The price failed to hold above these levels and retested the 50% retracement level at 1.1074. On the daily chart, retracement levels from the recent 1.081–1.118 move suggest potential support at 1.0966 and 1.0911.

Backtest Hypothesis

Given the observed bearish engulfing pattern and the pullback near key Fibonacci levels, a backtesting strategy could look to enter short positions with a stop-loss above the 1.108 high and a target at the 1.094 support. This setup would require confirmation from the 20SMA crossing below the 50SMA and a bearish MACD crossover. A long-term position could also be considered if the price breaks above the 200DMA, supported by a bullish RSI divergence and increased volume.