Market Overview for Alien Worlds/Tether USDt (TLMUSDT)

• Price opened at 0.00459 and closed at 0.00461, with a 24-hour range between 0.00449 and 0.00481.
• Momentum showed mixed signals, with RSI briefly reaching overbought levels before retracing.
• Volume increased significantly during the early morning ET, especially between 07:15 and 08:30.
• Bollinger Bands expanded as the price pushed through key resistance levels.
• A bullish engulfing pattern formed near the 0.00463–0.00464 level, suggesting possible continuation.

The TLMUSDT pair opened at 0.00459 on 2025-09-10 12:00 ET and closed at 0.00461 on 2025-09-11 12:00 ET, trading between 0.00449 (low) and 0.00481 (high) over the 24-hour period. Total traded volume was approximately 334,991,609.0 TLM, with a notional turnover of around $1,547,016 USD (calculated using average price).

Structure & Formations

Price behavior revealed a number of key levels. A strong short-term support was identified near 0.00455, which held during a brief pullback in the early morning. Resistance levels were seen at 0.00463 and 0.00468, both of which the price tested. A bullish engulfing candle at 0.00463–0.00464 suggested accumulation, while a doji near 0.00469–0.00468 indicated indecision after a sharp move up.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages crossed during the 07:15–08:30 ET window, signaling a potential short-term reversal. The daily chart showed a longer-term bullish bias, with the price staying above the 200-period moving average. The 50-period line acted as a dynamic support, reinforcing the idea of a healthy trend.

MACD & RSI

The MACD crossed above the signal line at 07:15 ET, confirming a bullish acceleration phase. RSI reached a high of 68, indicating a near-overbought condition, but failed to breach 70, suggesting the rally lacked aggressive buying pressure. A divergence was observed between price and RSI near the close, hinting at potential exhaustion.

Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands saw a marked expansion during the morning session, especially between 07:15 and 08:30, coinciding with the breakout above key resistance. Price remained within the bands, avoiding extreme volatility or overextension. A contraction was noted just before the breakout, suggesting a period of consolidation prior to a significant price move.

Volume & Turnover

Trading volume spiked sharply between 07:15 and 08:30 ET, reaching a peak of 57,147,943 TLM in a single 15-minute interval. This was accompanied by a surge in turnover, especially as price broke above 0.00463. A divergence was noted at the end of the session, where volume decreased despite a modest price increase, indicating weakening conviction.

Fibonacci Retracements

On the 15-minute chart, the 61.8% Fibonacci level (0.00463) acted as a significant psychological barrier. On the daily chart, the 38.2% level (0.00461) aligned with the session’s close, reinforcing its potential as a short-term pivot.

Backtest Hypothesis

A backtesting strategy based on the observed structure could involve entering long on the confirmation of the bullish engulfing candle at 0.00463, with a stop-loss placed just below the doji at 0.00464. A target could be set at the 0.00468 resistance level, with trailing stops to manage risk. Given the RSI divergence near the close, a cautious investor may consider a partial profit-taking at 0.00465, with the remainder held for a potential break of 0.00468. This approach would benefit from the strong volume confirmation and the alignment of both technical and time-based indicators.

Looking ahead, the next 24 hours will likely test the 0.00468–0.00471 range, with a potential break above this level signaling a broader move toward 0.00477. However, caution is warranted given the RSI divergence and the formation of a doji at key resistance, which may indicate short-term fatigue. Investors should remain attentive to volume trends and potential retests of support at 0.00455.