Summary
• Price declined from 0.00211 to 0.002038, with a bearish breakout below key support levels.
• Momentum weakened, with RSI entering oversold territory and MACD showing bearish divergence.
• Bollinger Bands widened as volatility increased, with price hovering near the lower band.
• Volume spiked during the early morning hours, confirming a breakdown below critical support.
• Fibonacci levels suggest potential for further downside to 0.00201–0.00202, with 0.00205 as a near-term resistance.
Price and Volume Summary
Alien Worlds/Tether (TLMUSDT) opened at 0.00211 at 12:00 ET–1, traded as high as 0.002114, and as low as 0.00201, before closing at 0.002038 at 12:00 ET. Total volume reached 97,292,382.0, while notional turnover amounted to 198,757.76.
Structure & Formations
Price formed a bearish breakdown pattern below 0.002095, a key support level, confirmed by a long bearish candle around 2025-12-26 00:30 ET. A potential bearish engulfing pattern appeared around 23:45–00:00 ET, reinforcing the downward move. A bearish divergence was also visible in the later half of the 24-hour period, with price making lower highs and lower lows.
Moving Averages
The 5-minute chart showed price closing below both the 20-period and 50-period moving averages, indicating short-term bearish momentum. Daily moving averages (50/100/200) were not explicitly calculated from the dataset, but the 5-minute decay suggests continuation of the bearish trend.
Momentum and Volatility
Relative Strength Index (RSI) dipped into oversold territory below 30 during the final hours, signaling potential for a short-term bounce. MACD showed bearish momentum, with the line crossing below the signal line and maintaining a negative trend. Bollinger Bands expanded, indicating heightened volatility. Price spent most of the session near the lower band, suggesting a weak near-term outlook.
Volume and Turnover
Volume and turnover spiked sharply between 2025-12-25 23:45 ET and 2025-12-26 00:30 ET, aligning with the breakdown below 0.002095. This volume spike validated the bearish move and increased the likelihood of continuation. No significant divergence was observed between price and turnover over the 24-hour period.
Fibonacci Retracements
Recent 5-minute swings suggest Fibonacci retracement levels at 0.00205 (38.2%), 0.00204 (61.8%), and 0.00202 (78.6%). Price appears to be aiming for 0.00201–0.00202 as the next probable target, with 0.00205 as a potential near-term resistance. Daily retracement levels would require longer-term data for accurate placement.
Price may test the 0.00201–0.00202 zone in the next 24 hours, with a possible bounce if buyers emerge at oversold RSI levels. However, a break below 0.00201 could signal a deeper pullback into 0.00198–0.00200. Investors should remain cautious and monitor for confirmation of a short-term bottom or reversal.
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