Market Overview for Alchemix/Tether (ALCXUSDT) – January 14, 2026

Summary
• Price surged from $7.70 to $8.04 on a bullish breakout with high-volume confirmation.
• RSI shows overbought conditions, suggesting potential pullback.
• Volatility expanded as price broke above key resistance near $7.85.
• Bollinger Bands widened in the final hours, reflecting increased market uncertainty.
• Fibonacci levels suggest support near $7.80 and potential resistance at $7.93–$7.95.

At 12:00 ET, Alchemix/Tether (ALCXUSDT) opened at $7.70 and closed at $7.81, reaching a high of $8.04 and a low of $7.62. Total volume was 20,564.87, with a notional turnover of $156,727.29 across the 24-hour period.

Structure & Formations

Price action showed a strong bullish breakout from a descending consolidation pattern, with key resistance at $7.85 broken decisively on high volume. A strong bullish engulfing pattern formed around $7.84–$7.85, followed by a series of higher highs into the early morning session. A 5-minute doji at $7.92–$7.91 near the session high hinted at short-term indecision.

Moving Averages

On the 5-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages were both bullish, with price consistently above both. On the daily timeframe, the 50-day MA is approaching the 100-day and 200-day averages, suggesting a potential inflection point in broader trend direction.

MACD & RSI

The MACD crossed above the signal line in the early hours, confirming a bullish acceleration. RSI reached overbought levels above 70 multiple times, suggesting a potential correction or consolidation phase.

Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands widened significantly during the late-night and early-morning session, signaling increasing volatility. Price closed just below the upper band at $8.04, indicating strong near-term momentum but also a possible exhaustion point.

Volume & Turnover

Volume surged in the 05:00–06:00 ET timeframe as price hit $8.04, confirming the bullish breakout. Turnover also spiked during this period, showing strong buying pressure. A divergence between volume and price occurred in the last 30 minutes of the session, as price pulled back slightly without a corresponding rise in volume, hinting at potential near-term caution.

Fibonacci Retracements

Fibonacci levels drawn from the recent swing low at $7.62 and high at $8.04 suggest immediate support at $7.80 (61.8%) and possible resistance at $7.93–$7.95 (38.2%). These levels may serve as key decision points for the next 24 hours.

The strong move higher appears to be driven by renewed risk appetite and short-covering, though overbought RSI and a bearish volume divergence suggest caution. Traders may watch for a retest of $7.80–$7.81 for confirmation of sustained bullish momentum.

Forward-looking, the pair could consolidate into the $7.82–$7.85 range before the next directional move, but a break below $7.75 would signal renewed bearish pressure. Investors should remain mindful of the risks of a short-term correction amid overbought conditions.