Summary
• Price declined from $8.36 to $8.03 amid increased volatility and bearish momentum.
• Key support tested at $8.16–$8.14 with bearish divergence in RSI.
• Volume surged during downward swings, confirming bearish bias.
Alchemix/Tether (ALCXUSDT) opened at $8.19, hit a high of $8.36, and fell to a low of $8.01 before closing at $8.03 by 12:00 ET. The pair traded with a 24-hour volume of 34,803.45 units and a turnover of $279,738.
Structure & Formations
The 24-hour chart shows a broad bearish trend, with a critical swing low forming near $8.01. Notable bearish patterns include a dark cloud cover and a shooting star near $8.25 and $8.36, signaling resistance. Key support levels are now around $8.14 and $8.06, with a possible bounce expected if buyers re-enter near $8.14.
Moving Averages
On the 5-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages are bearish, with price consistently below both. On the daily chart, the 50-period MA is above the 100 and 200-period MAs, indicating a potential intermediate-term reversal, though the 5-minute structure remains bearish.
MACD & RSI
The 5-minute MACD is bearish, with negative momentum and a bearish crossover. RSI is in oversold territory near $8.01, suggesting a potential short-term bounce. However, bearish divergence in RSI during the lower swing indicates that further downside could be in play.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility has expanded over the last 12 hours, with the Bollinger Bands widening. Price closed near the lower band at $8.03, consistent with bearish momentum. A potential retest of the $8.16–$8.14 range may bring in buyers, but a breakdown below $8.06 could extend the move lower.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked during the key bearish moves, especially near $8.36 and $8.06, confirming the strength of the selling pressure. Turnover aligned with volume during these moves, supporting the bearish bias. However, a sharp increase in volume above $8.14 could signal a short-term reversal.
Fibonacci Retracements
Applying Fibonacci retracements to the recent swing from $8.36 to $8.01, the 38.2% level is at $8.20 and the 61.8% at $8.12. These levels may offer short-term resistance and support, respectively. A break below $8.06 would target the next Fibonacci extension at $7.96.
Looking ahead, ALCXUSDT may consolidate near $8.14–$8.06 in the next 24 hours, with volatility likely to remain elevated. Investors should be cautious of further downside if bears reclaim key support levels.
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