Market Overview: AIXBT/Tether (AIXBTUSDT) – September 16, 2025

• Price of AIXBTUSDT rose from 0.1109 to 0.1144 on strong volume and late-session buying.
• Key resistance at 0.113–0.1145 is showing consolidation, with bullish momentum confirmed by RSI and MACD.
• Volatility picked up in the 24-hour period, with a peak high of 0.1146 and a low of 0.1086.
• Late-buys accelerated between 13:00 and 16:00 ET, pushing the price above key psychological levels.
• A strong 15-minute bullish engulfing pattern emerged near the 0.112–0.113 level, indicating potential follow-through.

Price Action and Structure

AIXBTUSDT opened at 0.1109 on September 15 at 12:00 ET and closed at 0.1144 on September 16 at 12:00 ET, hitting a 24-hour high of 0.1146 and a low of 0.1086. The pair formed a bullish reversal structure in the afternoon of the 15th, followed by a strong upward push on increased volume and momentum. Key resistance levels appear to be forming around 0.1145 and 0.113–0.1135, while the 0.1109–0.1114 range looks to be a critical support zone. A notable 15-minute bullish engulfing pattern formed near 0.112–0.113, indicating potential for further upward movement, especially if the 0.1145 level holds.

Moving Averages and Momentum

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages crossed to the upside, confirming bullish momentum. The 50-period MA is currently at ~0.1129, while the 20-period MA has surged above that, signaling a short-term bullish bias. On the daily chart, the 50- and 100-period MAs are converging at ~0.112, while the 200-period MA remains around 0.1115, suggesting a longer-term bullish trend may be emerging.

The RSI has climbed from ~52 to ~63 over the last 24 hours, indicating moderate bullish momentum without yet reaching overbought territory. The MACD line is positive and rising, with the signal line crossing into bullish territory around 0.112, reinforcing the near-term bullish case.

Volatility and Fibonacci Retracements

Bollinger Bands have expanded significantly in the last 24 hours, with the price closing near the upper band at ~0.1145. This suggests increased volatility and potential for a continuation of the upward move. The lower band hovered around 0.111–0.1115, acting as a support during the overnight consolidation.

Applying Fibonacci retracements to the recent swing from 0.1086 to 0.1146, key retracement levels are forming at ~0.1123 (38.2%), ~0.1114 (50%), and ~0.1109 (61.8%). The price appears to have held above the 50% and 61.8% levels, suggesting that the upward move is gaining structural support.

Volume and Turnover

Total trading volume in the 24-hour period amounted to 12,836,446.2 contracts, with a notional turnover of $1,433,426.00 (assuming USD as base). Volume surged during the early afternoon of the 15th and again in the early hours of the 16th, particularly between 07:30 and 16:00 ET. The price action aligned with the volume spikes, indicating strong participation and conviction in the upward move. However, divergence between volume and price was observed during the 03:00 to 05:00 ET period, where the price dipped slightly while volume remained moderate, suggesting a potential pause in bullish momentum.

Backtest Hypothesis

A potential backtest strategy for AIXBTUSDT could involve entering long positions when the 20-period MA crosses above the 50-period MA on the 15-minute chart and when the RSI moves above 50, indicating a shift in momentum. A stop-loss could be placed below the most recent 15-minute candlestick low, while a take-profit target could be set at the 0.1145 resistance level or the next Fibonacci extension. This strategy could be further refined by incorporating Bollinger Band breakouts to filter out false signals and improve the risk/reward profile. The recent price behavior has aligned with these conditions, making it a viable candidate for further empirical testing.